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Challenges are abound in today's global automotive industry The automotive industry is the industry involved in the design, development, manufacture, marketing, and sale of motor vehicles. In 2006, more than 69 million motor vehicles, including cars and commercial vehicles were produced worldwide. . The combination of a tired consumer, slowing economic activity and the events of September September: see month.  11th outline a contentious sales environment going forward. Forecasting during wartime is fraught fraught  
adj.
1. Filled with a specified element or elements; charged: an incident fraught with danger; an evening fraught with high drama.

2.
 with difficulties, as history provides little guidance on the coming events or market reaction to the same.

CSM CSM - ["CSM - A Distributed Programming Language", S. Zhongxiu et al, IEEE Trans Soft Eng SE-13(4):497-500 (Apr 1987)].  Worldwide's recent forecast update accounts for anticipated reactions to inventory accumulation and a slower sales pace. Within NAFTA NAFTA
 in full North American Free Trade Agreement

Trade pact signed by Canada, the U.S., and Mexico in 1992, which took effect in 1994. Inspired by the success of the European Community in reducing trade barriers among its members, NAFTA created the world's
, we have adjusted our overall setting downwards to 15.34 million units, a decline of 380,000 units from our previous forecast. Ford accounts for 85% of the production correction, with the balance tallying from DaimlerChrysler. On the heels of the extreme 0%, 36-month incentive activity that commenced in mid-September n. 1. the middle part of September.

Noun 1. mid-September - the middle part of September
period, period of time, time period - an amount of time; "a time period of 30 years"; "hastened the period of time of his recovery"; "Picasso's blue
, GM has been able to bolster This article is about the pillow called a bolster. For other meanings of the word "bolster", see bolster (disambiguation).

A bolster (etymology: Middle English, derived from Old English, and before that the Germanic word bulgstraz
 demand throughout the lineup A criminal investigation technique in which the police arrange a number of individuals in a row before a witness to a crime and ask the witness to identify which, if any, of the individuals committed the crime.  with better year-over-year performances thanks to the truck sector. New Domestic production remains strong as consumers gravitate grav·i·tate  
intr.v. grav·i·tat·ed, grav·i·tat·ing, grav·i·tates
1. To move in response to the force of gravity.

2. To move downward.

3.
 to products offering greater residual value Residual value

Usually refers to the value of a lessor's property at the time the lease expires.


residual value

The price at which a fixed asset is expected to be sold at the end of its useful life.
 and satisfaction.

Behind the forecast is a story of mix-not necessarily volume. As noted, Ford is slated to correct passenger car volumes in almost every area. The most acute reductions are expected for C170 (Focus), D186 (Taurus/Sable) and the launch-plagued DEW98 (Lincoln LS The Lincoln LS (for "Luxury Sport") was a mid-size, rear wheel drive entry-level luxury car from Lincoln. It shared the Ford DEW98 platform with the Jaguar S-Type and Ford Thunderbird.  and Thunderbird thunderbird

In North American Indian mythology, a powerful spirit in the form of a bird that watered the earth and made vegetation grow. Lightning was believed to flash from its eyes or beak, and the beating of its wings was thought to represent rolling thunder.
). The heart of Ford's truck sector is facing a myriad Myriad is a classical Greek name for the number 104 = 10 000. In modern English the word refers to an unspecified large quantity.

The term myriad is a progression in the commonly used system of describing numbers using tens and hundreds.
 of issues, including fallout fallout, minute particles of radioactive material produced by nuclear explosions (see atomic bomb; hydrogen bomb; Chernobyl) or by discharge from nuclear-power or atomic installations and scattered throughout the earth's atmosphere by winds and convection currents.  from the tire recall, launch and product replacement delays, and aging designs. Reflective Refers to light hitting an opaque surface such as a printed page or mirror and bouncing back. See reflective media and reflective LCD.  of this demand decay The reduction of strength of a signal or charge.

decay - [Nuclear physics] An automatic conversion which is applied to most array-valued expressions in C; they "decay into" pointer-valued expressions pointing to the array's first element.
 is UN93/173 (Expedition/Navigator), WIN126 (Windstar) and P150/151 (Ranger Ranger

Any of a series of unmanned probes launched from 1961 to 1965 by NASA. The project was NASA's earliest attempt to explore the Moon's surface. Ranger 4 (1962) became the first U.S. spacecraft to hit the Moon, crash-landing on its surface as planned.
). Year-over-year declines are over 25% for each platform. Far below expectations is the U152 (Explorer/Mountaineer).

DaimlerChrysler's passenger car performance is both disappointing and predictable. Most of DCX's car entries fit the mold mold, name for certain multicellular organisms of the various classes of the kingdom Fungi, characteristically having bodies composed of a cottony mycelium. The colors of molds are caused by the spores, which are borne on the mycelium.  as "placeholders" in the lineup, with little in the way of competitive factors drawing consumers in. DC's wish to only match competitive incentives given the current product portfolio has relegated the NLH NLH Nathan Littauer Hospital (Gloversville, NY)
NLH Nonlinear Helmholtz Equation
NLH New London Hospital (New London, NH)
NLH Number of Levels in the Hierarchical Tree Structure
 (mid-size), JR (compact) and NPL 1. NPL - New Programming Language. IBM's original (temporary) name for PL/I, changed due to conflict with England's "National Physical Laboratory." MPL and MPPL were considered before settling on PL/I. Sammet 1969, p.542.
2.
 (Neon) to inefficient "natural demand" volumes going forward. A year after launch, the RS minivans have missed internal targets by almost 20%, with little relief in sight.

Despite GM's incentive-laden market assault, volumes are still strong within the New Domestic ranks. Makers such as Toyota, Honda honda

a quick release metal eyelet for the end of a lariat. When the restrained animal is no longer required it is not necessary to slacken off the loop and pull it over the head—a very great advantage when working with wild cattle or unbroken horses.
, and BMW BMW
 in full Bayerische Motoren Werke AG

German automaker. Founded as an aircraft engine manufacturer in 1916, the company assumed the name Bayerische Motoren Werke and became known for its high-speed motorcycles in the 1920s.
 are carrying their weight with robust demand for ost of their mass-market entries. VW and Nissan are experiencing some demand-related issues, although overall volumes are performing better than the general market.

The latest 2002CY CSM Worldwide setting for NAFTA light vehicle production is 15.3 million units--assuming a U.S. sales rate of 15.8 million units. Our assumption holds for a demand rebound rebound (rē´bownd),
n/v 1. a recovery from illness.
n 2. an outbreak of fresh reflex activity after withdrawal of a stimulus

rebound adjective
 during the second half of 2002CY given the interest rate reductions and fiscal/monetary stimulus stimulus /stim·u·lus/ (stim´u-lus) pl. stim´uli   [L.] any agent, act, or influence which produces functional or trophic reaction in a receptor or an irritable tissue. .
GENERAL MOTORS                  3Q-01  4Q-01  '01 CY  '00 CY  Y/Y %

PASSENGER CAR (000's)

C5 (Corvette)                     8.1    8.6   35.4    34.9     1%
CR (Camaro/Firebird)             12.0   13.7   48.5    74.9   -35%
G/G-Prem (Luxury FWD Sedans)     40.0   30.6  147.3   192.4   -23%
GM2902 (Saturn LS)               24.2   22.0   99.7    86.0    16%
GM4200 (Corsa)                   16.6   27.0   83.6    93.0   -10%
GMX130/P90 (compact Sedans)     112.6  100.1  474.9   645.3   -26%
GMX690 (Aurora/LeSabre/Bonn)     52.0   46.5  205.1   270.6   -24%
J2-Car (Cavalier/Sunfire)        94.5   87.4  373 6   437.1   -15%
K/K-Spec (Eldo/Deville)           2.1    1.5    7.8    12.2   -36%
MS2000 (Mid-Size Sedan/Coupes)  166.1  158.6  620.5   747.3   -17%
Z2-Car (SC/SL)                   35.9   37.4  170.2   175.9    -3%
Other                             0.0    0.7   17.9    45.9   -61%

Tota1-Passenger Car               564    534  2,284   2,815   -19%
                               3Q-01  4Q-01  '01 CY  '00 CY  Y/Y %

LIGHT TRUCK (000's)
GMT250/257 (Aztek/Rendezvous)   23.7   20.4    70.3    40.9    72%
GMT315 (Saturn VUE SUV)          0.0    4.0     4.0     0.0     NA
GMT325 (S10/Sonoma)             45.0   45.9   177.0   307.5   -42%
GMT330 (Blazer/Jimmy/
Bravada)                        29.7   32.3   126.5   386.7   -67%
GMT360 (TBlazer/Envoy/
Bravada)                        81.9   82.9   257.8     0.0     NA
GMT600 (Express/Savana)         28.3   33.7   137.1   173.5   -21%
GMT800/805/806/880
(FS P-Up/SUT)                  246.5  254.3   998.1   904.3    10%
GMT820/830 (FS-SUV)            113.5  124.0   545.7   449.3    21%
GMX110 (Venture/Silh/
Montana)                        54.2   48.4   221.0   263.3   -16%
M-Van (Astro/Safari)            18.1   18.0    80.3   122.3   -34%
Isuzu: UCR145 (SUVs)            18.5   19.3    88.2   100.2   -12%
Other                            0.0    0.0     0.0   227.5  -100%

Total-Light Truck                659    683   2,706   2,875     6%
Total All GM                   1,224  1,217   4,990   5,691   -12%
PASSENGER CAR (000's)

FORD MOTOR                       3Q-01  4Q-01  '01 CY  '00 CY  Y/Y %

C195 (Ikon)                        5.8    8.4    22.4     0.7     NA
CDW27-162/SW164 (Cnt/Cougar)       6.7    5.5    27.1    86.0   -69%
J94A (626)                        13.4   11.7    55.4    67.3   -18%
CT120 (Escort)                    20.4   17.0    87.7   105.7   -17%
C170 (Focus)                      49.7   69.1   292.2   388.1   -25%
D186 (Taurus/Sable)               86.6  103.2   447.2   555.6   -20%
DEW98/M205 (Lincoln LS, T-Bird)    6.9   15.5    45.1    58.8   -23%
EN53/FN145 (Large/Lux Sedans)     37.8   61.2   266.9   317.1   -16%
FN74 (Continental)                 2.4    2.5    15.9    22.6   -30%
SN95 (Mustang)                    31.5   32.6   156.6   180.4   -13%
Other                              0.0    0.0     0.0     0.0     NA

Total-Passenger Car                261    327   1,417   1,782   -21%

LIGHT TRUCK (000's)

FORD MOTOR                       3Q-01  4Q-01  '01 CY  '00 CY  Y/Y %

P131 (>8,500 F-Series)            81.3   87.4   405.9   479.8   -15%
P150/P/U207 (Ranger/Exp
Spt/Spt Trc)                      98.3  102.8   418.5   554.6   -25%
PN96-102 (<8,500 F-Series)       121.4  127.4   531.1   615.5   -14%
U152 (Explorer/Mountaineer)       86.7   81.3   341.4     4.2     NA
UN93/173 (Expedition/Navigator)   42.9   48.2   200.9   286.5   -30%
U204 (Escape/Tribute)             56.7   67.7   262.4   102.6   156%
VN127 (Econoline/Club Wagon)      29.5   30.2   144.2   216.5   -33%
VX149 (Villager/Quest)             4.9    7.4    44.0    68.6   -36%
WIN126 (Windstar)                 37.3   48.9   207.3   279.5   -26%
Other                              0.0    0.0     0.0   359.0  -100%

Total-Light Truck                  559    601   2,556   2,967   -14%
Total All Ford                     820    928   3,972   4,749   -16%
PASSENGER CAR (000's)

DAIMLERCHRYSLER              3Q-01  4Q-01  '01 CY  '00 CY  Y/Y %

JR (Stratus/Sebring/Cabrio)   52.3   46.8   247.2    81.0     NA
NLH (Intr/Concd/LHS/300M)     32.8   42.6   199.0   291.9   -32%
NPL (Neon)                    29.9   31.5   172.9   227.5   -24%
SR/PR (Viper/Prowler)          1.2    1.1     5.1     4.6    11%
ST (Sebr/Aven/Ecl/Gal)        48.4   40.8   186.8   218.3   -14%
Other                          0.0    0.0     0.0   159.6  -100%

Total-Passenger Car            165    163     811     983   -17%

LIGHT TRUCK (000's)

DAIMLERCHRYSLER              3Q-01  4Q-01  '01 CY  '00 CY  Y/Y %

AB (Ram Van)                   9.5    7.7    57.1    73.8   -23%
AN/DN (Dakota/Durango)        68.3   64.3   289.7   375.4   -23%
BR (Ram Pickup)               36.0   22.7   242.1   432.5   -44%
DR (Ram Pickup)               39.7   94.5   134.3     0.0     NA
KJ (Liberty)                  54.2   51.0   140.7     0.0     NA
PT44 (Crusler)                54.5   46.4   208.7   146.7    42%
RS (Caravan/Voyager/T&C)     107.2  113.1   531.8   170.0     NA
TJ (Wrangler)                 15.3   14.6    67.9    96.5   -30%
WJ (Grand Cherokee)           48.2   42.0   207.2   293.2   -29%
W163 (M-Class)                18.5   18.8    80.7    83.7    -4%
Other                          1.3    1.4    54.7   541.1   -90%

Total-Light Truck              453    477   2,015   2,213    -9%
Total All DaimlerChrysler      617    639   2,826   3,196   -12%
PASSENGER CAR BY DESIGN PARENT (000's)

NEW DOMESTIC               3Q-01  4Q-01  '01 CY  '00 CY  Y/Y %

BMW:
   E36-7 (Z3)                8.1    7.7    35.4    38.7    -8%
Honda:
   NE/IN/CO (Accord/
    TL/CL)                 114.7  117.3   482.9   470.1     3%
   CS (Civic/EL)            96.0  106.2   420.9   125.4     NA
Renault/Nissan:
   ZQ (Altima)               0.0    0.0    73.0   150.1   -51%
   TK (Altima)              27.8   45.1    72.9     0.0     NA
   HS (Sentra)              40.9   33.3   161.4   139.4    16%
   Sentra (Tsubame/
    Tsuru)                  30.3   31.0   117.7    89.7    31%
Fuji Heavy:
   66L (Legacy)             22.6   25.1   103.7   108.1    -4%
Toyota:
   414T/700T (Camry/
    Solara/Avalon)          41.7   31.5   292.2   422.6   -31%
   300N (Camry)             38.2   84.4   122.6     0.0     NA
   560T (Corolla/Prizm)     82.0   68.4   316.6   330.4    -4%
Volkswagen:
   PQ34 (Jetta/
    New Beetle)             63.8   76.6   320.2   370.0   -13%
   A3 (Cabriolet)            2.7    3.2    13.9    12.9     8%
   Type 1 (Old Beetle)       7.5    9.0    38.3    40.9    -6%
   Other                     0.2    0.3     6.4   333.8   -98%

Total-Passenger Car          577    639   2,578   2,632    -2%

LIGHT TRUCK BY DESIGN
PARENT (000's)

NEW DOMESTIC               3Q-01  4Q-01  '01 CY  '00 CY  Y/Y %

BMW:
   X5 (E53)                 23.1   19.8    81.6    45.0    81%
Honda:
   BM (Odyssey)             44.8   53.6   198.9   159.9    24%
Renault/Nissan:
   D21 (Hardbody)           10.0   10.2    36.5    45.8   -20%
   QW/WQW (Frontier/
    Xterra)                 43.2   40.7   169.1   227.1   -26%
Suzuki:
   YG4 (Tracker/Vitara)     15.0   15.3    56.4    68.2   -17%
Toyota:
   485T (Tacoma)            41.4   38.4   162.7   145.0    12%
   477T (Sienna)            23.7   24.1    94.2   123.6   -24%
   800T (Tundra, Sequoia)   40.5   41.3   167.3   129.7    29%
   Other                     0.2    1.4     2.6     0.0     NA

Total-Light Truck            242    245     969     944     3%
Total All New Dom.           819    884   3,547   3,576    -1%
TOTAL UNITED STATES, CANADA & MEXICO (NAFTA)


Total Passenger Car  1,566  1,663   7,090   8,213  -13.7%
Total Light Truck    1,913  2,006   8,246   8,999   -8.4%
Total Light Vehicle  3,480  3,669  15,335  17,212  -10.9%
COPYRIGHT 2001 Gardner Publications, Inc.
No portion of this article can be reproduced without the express written permission from the copyright holder.
Copyright 2001, Gale Group. All rights reserved. Gale Group is a Thomson Corporation Company.

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Comment:Adjustments to Output: Down (For Now). (Auto by the Numbers).
Author:Robinet, Michael
Publication:Automotive Design & Production
Article Type:Statistical Data Included
Geographic Code:1USA
Date:Dec 1, 2001
Words:1751
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