ARAB-US RELATIONS - Sept 7 - Petraeus Weighs Iraq Troop Reduction.
The top US commander in Iraq General David Petraeus, will consider
withdrawing about 4,000 troops from Iraq early next year to ease
concerns of lawmakers on Capitol Hill. The New York Times reported on
Friday that while Gen Petraeus wants sufficient troops to maintain the
recent security gains in Iraq, he was willing to draw down one brigade
to assauge the concerns of lawmakers who want to see US troops start to
return home. Gen Petraeus has become the subject of intense scrutiny
ahead of his long-awaited assessment of the military "surge"
to Congress. Since the contours of his recommendations have already
emerged in leaks this week, his appearance on Capitol Hill should be
more revealing about where lawmakers stand on Iraq. Over the summer,
clear signs have emerged of improved security in Iraq, prompting some
Democrats to be more cautious about seeking an immediate withdrawal, and
instead seeking a consensus with Republicans, such as John Warner, the
respected Virginia senator, who have expressed concerns about the White
House policy on Iraq. Other Democrats, however, point to a series of
recent reports that have concluded that the Iraqi government has made no
progress towards implementing the political reconciliation which the
surge was designed to help achieve. The Government Accountability
Office, the oversight arm of Congress, concluded that the Iraqi
government had met only three out of 18 political and security
benchmarks. The White House has refused to be drawn on the growing
drumbeat of speculation. Gordon Johndroe, spokesman for the White House
national security council, said it was "premature to speculate on
their final recommendations or on the President's pending
decision". By keeping silent, the White House has sought to keep
the focus on Bush's upbeat visit to Iraq, when he touted signs of
increasing security and said it might soon be possible to reduce troop
numbers if progress continued. While Bush touted the security gains in
Baghdad and Anbar province, an independent commission of senior retired
military and police officers this week concluded that the Iraqi security
forces would be unable to operate independently of US troops over the
next 18 months. Earlier this week, Gen Petraeus conceded that the surge
would end around March. Senior military officers have for months argued
that the surge could not be sustained beyond April without extending
troop rotations, which would pose a huge strain on the already stretched
US forces. As the surge winds down, the debate in Washington is expected
to shift to the question of what happens after April. While Gen Petraeus
appears to want to maintain troop numbers at the pre-surge level of
about 130,000, some senior military officers, including General Peter
Pace, the chairman of the Joint Chiefs, are pushing for larger
reductions.
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