ARAB-US RELATIONS - Sept 20 - US Feared N Korea-Syria Link Before Israeli Strike.
The US had concerns about potential nuclear-related co-operation
between North Korea and Syria before recently receiving Israeli
intelligence on the issue that Israel reportedly used to justify an air
strike inside Syria. Binyamin Netanyahu, the Israeli opposition leader,
on appeared to confirm reports that Israeli fighter jets had earlier
this month launched strikes inside Syria, which US and Israeli media
reported were due to concerns that North Korea was helping Syria develop
a clandestine nuclear programme. One senior US official said Washington
had for some time possessed intelligence about potential nuclear
co-operation between the two countries. While declining to outline the
specific intelligence, the US official said North Korea would have to
address the concerns as part of the declaration of nuclear activities
that Pyongyang is required to make to complete the current stage of the
six-party talks aimed at denuclearising the Korean peninsula. The US
hopes to complete the stage this year and talks may resume in Beijing
next week after North Korea refused to return to the table this week.
President George W. Bush on Sept 20 declined to make any comment on the
Israeli attack. But when asked whether North Korea was helping Syria
with a nuclear programme, he said the US would continue to make clear to
North Korea that "we expect them to honour their commitment to give
up weapons and weapons programs and, to the extent that they are
proliferating, we expect them to stop their proliferation if they want
the six-party talks to be successful". The US official said the
administration had made a strategic decision not to raise the issue more
forcefully early on in the six-party talks - which include China, Japan,
South Korea and Russia - to avoid scuppering the possibility of a
successful outcome because of a "Kelly" situation.
Negotiations between North Korea and the US broke down in late 2002
after James Kelly, the then top State Department official for east Asian
affairs, confronted Pyongyang over its alleged uranium nuclear
programme. Three months later, Pyongyang announced its withdrawal from
the nuclear non-proliferation treaty. The scant information provided by
administration officials about the alleged nuclear co-operation has
prompted scepticism by experts on the claims that Syria is developing a
clandestine nuclear programme, with or without the help of North Korea.
"It is highly unlikely that the Israeli attack had anything to do
with significant Syrian-North Korean nuclear co-operation", said
Joseph Cirincione, director for nuclear policy at the Center for
American Progress. "The basic, well-documented fact is that the
40-year-old Syrian nuclear research programme is too basic to support
any weapons capability. Universities have larger nuclear programmes than
Syria". Most experts have suggested that Israel was much more
likely to have targeted some a facility related to for conventional
weapons or missiles, over which North Korea and Syria have co-operated
in the past. "I would be very, very surprised if the North Koreans
were dumb enough to transfer fissile material to Syria or were trying to
do work outside of North Korea in a place like Syria", said Michael
Green, a former senior Asia adviser to Bush who is now at the Center for
Strategic and International Studies. "The transfer of fissile
material in the wake of President Bush's public statement after the
nuclear test would be extremely dangerous for North Korea and not worth
the risk".
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