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AMP comments on third quarter estimated results and outlook.


HARRISBURG Harrisburg, city (1990 pop. 52,376), state capital and seat of Dauphin co., SE Pa., on the Susquehanna River; settled c.1710 by John Harris, who established a trading post and operated a ferry there; inc. 1791. , Pa.--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Sept. 14, 1995--AMP Inc. President and Chief Executive Officer William William, crown prince of Germany
William or Frederick William, 1882–1951, crown prince of Germany, son of William II. In World War I he commanded (1914) an army on the Western Front and was nominal commander in the German attack
 J. Hudson Hudson, towns, United States
Hudson.

1 Industrial town (1990 pop. 17,233), Middlesex co., E central Mass., on the Assabet River, in an apple-growing region; settled c.1699, inc. 1866.
 commented on current results and outlook in a presentation at 4 p.m. Thursday Thursday: see week.  (Sept. 14, 1995) at the Merrill Lynch Merrill Lynch & Co., Inc. (NYSE: MER TYO: 8675 ), through its subsidiaries and affiliates, provides capital markets services, investment banking and advisory services, wealth management, asset management, insurance, banking and related products and services on a global basis.  Connector Industry Conference in New York City New York City: see New York, city.
New York City

City (pop., 2000: 8,008,278), southeastern New York, at the mouth of the Hudson River. The largest city in the U.S.
.

He indicated results are essentially in line with analyst expectations. Third quarter sales should approach $1.30 billion -- up about 15% or more from $1.11 billion in the year earlier period -- and down slightly from the record $1.34 billion sales in the second quarter of this year.

Third quarter earnings are estimated at 50-53 cents -- up about 15-20% from 44 cents in third quarter 1994 (restated) and above 45 cents in the second quarter and 48 cents (restated) in the first quarter of this year.

Hudson stated AMP's growth goal is to reach $10 billion in the year 2000. A key factor to whether we can reach that goal is, of course, the economic, business, and market environment ahead. We believe the evidence is mounting that the most likely scenario is moderate, sustainable economic growth throughout most of the industrialized in·dus·tri·al·ize  
v. in·dus·tri·al·ized, in·dus·tri·al·iz·ing, in·dus·tri·al·iz·es

v.tr.
1. To develop industry in (a country or society, for example).

2.
 world for the rest of this decade.

Consensus economic growth forecasts for the major regions and countries 1994, 1995, 1996, and beyond shows generally a fairly good environment for continued good AMP growth next year and the rest of the decade. Several points to note here: -- U.S. and European European

emanating from or pertaining to Europe.


European bat lyssavirus
see lyssavirus.

European beech tree
fagussylvaticus.

European blastomycosis
see cryptococcosis.
 growth continues in 1996 at a rate similar to 1995 -- no recession; -- Japan very slow recovery -- better next year; -- Rest of Asia/Pacific continues at 6+% GDP GDP (guanosine diphosphate): see guanine.  growth.

We also subscribe to Verb 1. subscribe to - receive or obtain regularly; "We take the Times every day"
subscribe, take

buy, purchase - obtain by purchase; acquire by means of a financial transaction; "The family purchased a new car"; "The conglomerate acquired a new company";
 the increasingly accepted belief that we are in a "golden era" of growth in technology-based industries, particularly electronics, because of a confluence confluence /con·flu·ence/ (kon´floo-ins)
1. a running together; a meeting of streams.con´fluent

2. in embryology, the flowing of cells, a component process of gastrulation.
 of many factors of technological progress; application to many new areas; dramatic improvement in quality, capability, and value; and strong demand -- particularly in personal computers, networking, communications, and infrastructure building.

Thus our planning is based on continuation of strong secular trends secular trend

The relatively consistent movement of a variable over a long period. A stock in a secular uptrend is an indicator that the security has experienced an extended period of rising prices.
 that should predominate over the usual historical cyclical cyclical

Of or relating to a variable, such as housing starts, car sales, or the price of a certain stock, that is subject to regular or irregular up-and-down movements.
 pattern.

Another way of measuring a company's progress is how are they doing now compared to what they earlier said they thought they could do. Early this year, before we became involved with M/A-COM, we said sales might approach $5 billion and earnings looked like $2.10-2.20 if the U.S. dollar stayed steady. We assumed some slowing in U.S. economic growth by mid-year and a rather slow economic recovery in Japan.

We merged with M/A-COM in the second quarter, which added $100 million to second quarter sales, and took a one-time one-time
adj.
1. or one·time
a. Occurring or undertaken only once: a one-time winner in 1995.

b.
 charge and dilution Dilution

A reduction in earnings per share of common stock that occurs through the issuance of additional shares or the conversion of convertible securities.

Notes:
Adding to the number of shares outstanding reduces the value of holdings of existing shareholders.
 effect of 16 cents/share for a reported 45 cents/share. First quarter was restated from 50 cents to 48 cents. So six months earnings were 93 cents.

The third quarter looks like about 50-53 cents on sales slightly less than the record $1.34 billion in the second quarter because of seasonal effects, a barely growing Japanese economy, a leveling off in car production in Europe and Japan, and a little higher average value of the dollar against the yen and D-mark third quarter vs. second quarter.

We had earlier expected third quarter sales to be flat or up slightly from the second quarter, but instead they will be down a few percent because of the factors cited -- but up about 15% year-to-year. We expect the fourth quarter to set new highs in sales and earnings. Fourth quarter earnings estimates of 55-58 cents seem reasonable if currencies stay fairly constant at today's level.

So as we said in our six months report, the year looks like $2.00-2.10 after deducting the 16 cents merger expense and having 4% more shares outstanding -- probably the lower end of that range because of the strengthening of the U.S. dollar in recent months.

This most recent estimate is right in line with beginning of the year estimates of $2.10-2.20 before we became involved with M/A-COM. Sales growth by regions in local currencies for the entire year looks like 12-15% in the Americas and Asia-Pacific and about 20% in Europe.

Currency effects on our sales are as follows: -- Third quarter 1995 vs. second quarter 1995, $21 million reduction -- Third quarter 1995 vs. third quarter 1994, $33 million addition -- Nine months 1995 vs. nine months 1994, $183 million addition -- Full year 1996 vs. full year 1995 if rates stay at present levels,

a $116 million reduction.

The most recent First Call earnings consensus report shows $2.54 for next year. At this early time we won't disagree with Verb 1. disagree with - not be very easily digestible; "Spicy food disagrees with some people"
hurt - give trouble or pain to; "This exercise will hurt your back"
 the $2.45-2.65 range being used. Assuming consensus economic growth projections for next year, and not too much increase in the value of the U.S. dollar, we should be in that earnings range on 10-15% sales growth and some margin improvement.

Key factors in addition to the economic environment, market growth, and the U.S. dollar are the product pricing environment, which should improve slightly, and continued progress on reducing the operating loss operating loss

The excess of operating expenses over revenue. As with operating income, operating losses exclude revenues and expenses from operations that are not considered a regular part of the business. Also called deficit. Compare operating income.
 in our Global Interconnect (1) To attach one device to another.

(2) A physical port (plug, socket) or wireless port (transmitter, receiver) used to attach one device to another.
 Business Group. We continue to expect this group will reach or be close to break-even by the end of next year.

Capital expenditures are on a fast track toward a $675-700 million range -- up sharply from $473 million last year and $370 million in 1993. This, of course, is resulting in higher depreciation and amortization which is another factor to consider in projecting earnings -- moving up from $300 million last year to about $350 million this year and higher again next year.

The next year or two may show a more moderate spending growth and bring capital expenditures back closer in line with its longer-term relationship of about 10% of sales. We will add about a million sq. ft. of space this year -- from 11 million to 12 million. We are expanding facilities in over a dozen countries.

We continue to spend 11-12% on research, development and engineering. This year should be a record $550 million or more. This heavy spending each year results in: -- AMP being in the top 25 among U.S. companies and top 50 among all

corporations in the world; -- A steady flow of new products; -- Creation of new part numbers at a rate of over 200 per day; -- A number of new application tools and machines to apply our products

to wires, cables, and boards; and -- Many new manufacturing advances that improve quality, productivity,

and delivery times -- for example, on time shipments to customers

are now up to the 95-96% level.

The merger with M/A-COM is going well and exceeding our expectations. Sales are rising and should surpass $100 million this quarter, margins are improving, and we are making good progress on integration with AMP worldwide.

One good current example of this integration, and the high level of engineering capabilities at M/A-COM, is a multi-day technical conference to be held next month in which over five dozen M/A-COM engineers will make presentations to several hundred AMP and M/A-COM technical personnel.

The recent acquisition of the 40,000 sq. ft. gallium arsenide An alloy of gallium and arsenic compound (GaAs) that is used as the base material for chips. Several times faster than silicon, it is used in high frequency applications such as cellphones, DVD players and fiber optics.  plant of Cray Computer The Colorado Springs-based supercomputer company founded in 1989 by Seymour Cray after he left Cray Research. Cray developed the Cray-3, an incredibly fast gallium arsenide-based computer that ran at a 1 GHz clock rate.  adds about one-third more capacity for only a few million dollars investment.

We have just launched a new approach to total quality improvement that we believe is ahead of all other companies according to according to
prep.
1. As stated or indicated by; on the authority of: according to historians.

2. In keeping with: according to instructions.

3.
 our benchmarking with leaders like Motorola and Hewlett-Packard.

The emphasis is on far deeper and broader involvement by top and middle management, and development of an overall global corporate top-down as well as bottom-up process that will be so thorough and reliable that it will permit elimination of outside, third-party certification of individual plants and business units.

One very visible sign of this new leadership approach is that our 45 top executives, including the Chairman, CEO (1) (Chief Executive Officer) The highest individual in command of an organization. Typically the president of the company, the CEO reports to the Chairman of the Board. , and CFO See Chief Financial Officer.  have recently taken two and one-half days of intensive training on Malcolm Baldrige
People:
  • Howard M. Baldrige, Congressman from Nebraska
  • Howard M. Baldrige, Jr., United States Secretary of Commerce
Awards:
  • Malcolm Baldrige National Quality Award named after Howard M. Baldrige, Jr.
 criteria so they can serve as examiners in our annual internal quality improvement competition that involves dozens of plants, departments, business units, and subsidiaries each year.

Another new aspect is development of new approaches to more effectively address global accounts and markets. We recently created the Global Account Management program and assigned as·sign  
tr.v. as·signed, as·sign·ing, as·signs
1. To set apart for a particular purpose; designate: assigned a day for the inspection.

2.
 senior marketing directors to coordinate our efforts on serving some of our very largest multinational customers.

Also, a few weeks ago we assigned to vice president Rudy Gassner the responsibility for creating an organization and process for marketing to the personal computer industry throughout the world. And we are in the process of creating a specialized spe·cial·ize  
v. spe·cial·ized, spe·cial·iz·ing, spe·cial·iz·es

v.intr.
1. To pursue a special activity, occupation, or field of study.

2.
 global organization to better focus and accelerate our participation in the electric utility industry where we have a very small market share.

The acquisition of SIMEL last December broadened our product scope in this industry, which should have good growth in many countries because of the need for infrastructure building.

We are planning several other organizational changes that will focus our resources on a global basis to better develop and market certain families of products and better serve certain markets. This increasingly global approach should help us penetrate, gain share, and act faster on new product opportunities.

One indication of the globalization globalization

Process by which the experience of everyday life, marked by the diffusion of commodities and ideas, is becoming standardized around the world. Factors that have contributed to globalization include increasingly sophisticated communications and transportation
 of our organization is that we now have nearly 100 middle and upper management and professional employees in our expatriate Expatriate

An employee who is a U.S. citizen living and working in a foreign country.
 program where they are on assignment for three to five years from one region to another. This is up from about a dozen as we began this decade.

We are very optimistic op·ti·mist  
n.
1. One who usually expects a favorable outcome.

2. A believer in philosophical optimism.



op
 and are confident we can continue growing the rest of this decade and beyond. We are addressing markets with good potential. Through diversification Diversification

A risk management technique that mixes a wide variety of investments within a portfolio. It is designed to minimize the impact of any one security on overall portfolio performance.

Notes:
Diversification is possibly the greatest way to reduce the risk.
 we are now addressing new markets that add another $60-80 billion in size in addition to the $25 billion connector industry.

We will continue to make acquisitions and to expand into more countries on a timely basis as those markets develop. We are very excited about what is happening in the electronics industry -- the rapid rate of technology change and the application of electronics to a steadily expanding range of uses is providing AMP with more opportunities for growth than we have resources to pursue -- a nice problem to have.

Harrisburg, Pennsylvania-based AMP Inc. is the world's leading producer of electrical/electronic connection devices. It has 36,100 employees in 200 facilities in the U.S. and 38 other countries. AMP stock is listed on the New York New York, state, United States
New York, Middle Atlantic state of the United States. It is bordered by Vermont, Massachusetts, Connecticut, and the Atlantic Ocean (E), New Jersey and Pennsylvania (S), Lakes Erie and Ontario and the Canadian province of
, Pacific and other regional stock exchanges (Symbol -- "AMP"). -0-
AMP INC.
CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF INCOME -- RESTATED FOR 1994 (2)
(Unaudited)
(dollars in thousands except per share data)


                                         1994                1994
                                      1st Qtr             2nd Qtr
Net Sales                         $   985,243        $  1,087,836
Cost of Sales                         655,687             714,149
  Gross Income                        329,556             373,687
Selling, General and
 Administrative Expenses              186,354             203,233
  Income from Operations              143,202             170,454
Interest Expense                      (6,502)             (7,320)
Other (Deductions), net               (6,380)             (7,596)
  Income before income taxes          130,320             155,538
Income Taxes                           49,700              59,142
Net Income                        $    80,620         $    96,396


(1) Per share--Net income            37 cents            44 cents
      Cash dividends                 21 cents            21 cents
(1) Weighted average
    number of shares              217,059,054         216,979,153


(1) Per share data and weighted average shares have been retroactively
    restated to reflect the 2-for-1 stock split on March 2, 1995.
(2) Consolidated data has been restated to reflect merger with M/A-COM.


                                 1994           1994           1994
                              3rd Qtr        4th Qtr     Total Year
Net Sales                  $1,105,175     $1,190,813     $4,369,067
Cost of Sales                 726,792        787,557      2,884,185
  Gross Income                378,383        403,256      1,484,882
Selling, General and
 Administrative
 Expenses                     214,531        220,827        824,945
  Income from Operations      163,852        182,429        659,937
Interest Expense              (7,238)        (8,093)       (29,153)
Other (Deductions), net       (5,930)       (12,066)       (31,972)
  Income before
   income taxes               150,684        162,270        598,812
Income Taxes                   55,540         60,640        225,022
Net Income                  $  95,144     $  101,630        373,790


(1) Per share--
    Net income               44 cents       47 cents          $1.72
      Cash dividends         21 cents       21 cents       84 cents
(1) Weighted average
    number of shares      216,923,674    217,088,899    217,012,611


(1) Per share data and weighted average shares have been retroactively
    restated to reflect the 2-for-1 stock split on March 2, 1995.
(2) Consolidated data has been restated to reflect merger with M/A-COM.




CONTACT: AMP Inc., Harrisburg

William Oakland, 717/780-6371
COPYRIGHT 1995 Business Wire
No portion of this article can be reproduced without the express written permission from the copyright holder.
Copyright 1995, Gale Group. All rights reserved. Gale Group is a Thomson Corporation Company.

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Publication:Business Wire
Date:Sep 14, 1995
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