ADVISORY/EXPERT SOURCE: 2004 Equities Forecast: Payden & Rygel's Chris Orndorff Says ``Tide Will Turn'' for Large Cap Growth Stocks.Business Editors ADVISORY... LOS ANGELES--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Dec. 16, 2003 Orndorff Also Can Comment on Investment Outlook for Small-Cap Stocks, Mutual Funds, the Economy Christopher Orndorff, lead strategist strat·e·gist n. One who is skilled in strategy. Noun 1. strategist - an expert in strategy (especially in warfare) strategian market strategist - someone skilled in planning marketing campaigns of the Payden U.S. Growth Leaders Fund, rated four stars by Morningstar(TM)(a), is available to comment on the investment outlook for equities in 2004. Payden & Rygel (www.payden.com) is one of the largest independent investment managers in the United States United States, officially United States of America, republic (2005 est. pop. 295,734,000), 3,539,227 sq mi (9,166,598 sq km), North America. The United States is the world's third largest country in population and the fourth largest country in area. , with $50 billion in assets under management Assets Under Management (AUM) is a term used by financial services companies in the mutual fund and money management or investment management business to gauge how much money they are managing. . The firm's U.S. Growth Leaders Fund turned in a stellar year-to-date performance in 2003, up 33.77 percent through November 30, compared with a 25.41 percent increase for its benchmark, the Russell 1000 Growth Index(b). Sound bytes Sound Bytes is the title of a two hour weekly program that airs on WHAM, a Rochester, NY radio station. As of the initial writing of this article in March of 2007, it can be heard Sundays starting at 11AM Eastern time. from Orndorff include: -- Small-cap stocks have done well relative to large caps over the past couple of years. Going forward, however, the trend will reverse itself and large-cap stocks are going to outperform Outperform An analyst recommendation meaning a stock is expected to do slightly better than the market return. Notes: Exact definitions vary by brokerage, but in general this rating is better than neutral and worse than buy or strong buy. small caps See Small capital for the foreseeable future. -- The market seems to be ready for a pause as investors get ready for the next round of corporate earnings releases in January. During market pauses, large-cap value generally does better than large-cap growth. For the balance of 2004, however, we believe that large-cap growth will be at the top of the charts since these stocks will exhibit stronger earnings growth, and as the economy gains momentum next year, investors will be attracted to the operating leverage Operating Leverage A measurement of the degree to which a firm or project relies on fixed rather than variable costs. Notes: The higher the degree of operating leverage, the greater the potential danger from forecasting risk. present in large-cap companies. -- Stocks will likely outperform bonds by a considerable amount during the first 9 months of 2004. However, we are concerned that the actions of the U.S. government, which were designed to achieve maximum growth in the election year, may be followed by considerably lower growth in 2005. When investors begin to see signs that this is the case (near or after the election), the stock market could suffer a significant setback late in 2004 or early in 2005. FOR INTERVIEWS: Christopher Orndorff may be reached at 213-830-4301, or to arrange in-person or phone interviews, please contact Jessica del Mundo at 310-396-2400 or jdelmundo@cswpr.com. There is no guarantee of future performance, nor are fund shares guaranteed. The value of an investment in the fund will fluctuate; upon redemption an investor's shares may be worth more or less than the original cost. Read the prospectus carefully before investing. The Paydenfunds are distributed through Payden & Rygel Distributors, member NASD NASD See: National Association of Securities Dealers NASD See National Association of Securities Dealers (NASD). . (a) For the overall and three-year periods as of November 30, 2003. An overall rating is based on a weighted average of the fund's ratings for the three-, five-, and ten-year periods, if applicable. The number of funds in the large growth category tracked by Morningstar was 949 for the overall and three-year periods. For each fund with at least a three-year history, Morningstar calculates a Morningstar Rating based on a Morningstar Risk-Adjusted Return Risk-Adjusted Return A measure of how much risk a fund or portfolio takes on to earn its returns, usually expressed as a number or a rating. Notes: This is often represented by the Sharpe Ratio. The more return per unit of risk, the better. measure that accounts for variation in a fund's monthly performance (including the effects of sales charges Sales Charge A commission or fee paid by an investor at the time of purchasing mutual fund shares. The charge is paid to a mutual fund salesperson or financial advisor and is intended to provide compensation for the financial salesperson's efforts in assisting their client select , loads and redemption fees Redemption fee A fee some mutual funds charge when an investor sells shares within a specified short period of time. ), placing more emphasis on downward variations and rewarding consistent performance. The top 10% of funds in each category receive five stars and the next 22.5% receive four stars. Highly rated funds are defined as those that have a four or five star Morningstar rating. Data provided by Morningstar, Inc. Although gathered from reliable sources, data completeness and accuracy cannot be guaranteed. Morningstar is a registered trademark of Morningstar, Inc. and is not affiliated with Paydenfunds. (b) The fund returned 19.99% for the one-year period, -18.51% for the three-year period, and -9.37% since its inception date of 6/17/99 through 9/30/03. |
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