A performance-based technology assessment methodology to support DoD acquisition.Many weapon system failures are attributed to premature transfer of technology to operational systems. Insufficient measures of assessing technology readiness are major contributors to such failures. This paper presents a methodology to measure the performance risk of technology in order to determine its transition readiness. This methodology is referred to as Technology Performance Risk Index (TPRI TPRI Texas Primary Reading Inventory (reading assessment) TPRI Tropical Pesticides Research Institute (Tanzania) TPRI Total Peripheral Resistance Index TPRI Texas Proficiency Reading Inventory ). The TPRI can track technology readiness through a life cycle, or it can be used at a specific time to support a particular system milestone decision. The TPRI is computed using the performance requirements, the Degree of Difficulty (DD), and the unmet un·met adj. Not satisfied or fulfilled: unmet demands. performance. These components are combined in a closed-loop feedback manner to analytically an·a·lyt·ic or an·a·lyt·i·cal adj. 1. Of or relating to analysis or analytics. 2. Dividing into elemental parts or basic principles. 3. calculate the performance risk. TPRI is illustrated by an example using published system requirements To be used efficiently, all computer software needs certain hardware components or other software resources to be present on a computer system. These pre-requisites are known as (computer) system requirements and are often used as a guideline as opposed to an absolute rule. data. ********** Since World War II, the United States Armed Forces Used to denote collectively only the regular components of the Army, Navy, Air Force, Marine Corps, and Coast Guard. See also Armed Forces of the United States. have maintained a technological advantage over adversaries. Today, the military is facing continued threats that require an accelerated pace of technology development amid global proliferation proliferation /pro·lif·er·a·tion/ (pro-lif?er-a´shun) the reproduction or multiplication of similar forms, especially of cells.prolif´erativeprolif´erous pro·lif·er·a·tion n. of military technologies (Lukens, 2003). The Department of Defense (DoD) has estimated a need for $50 billion dollars for missile defense Missile defence is an air defence system, weapon program, or technology involved in the detection, tracking, interception and destruction of attacking missiles. Originally conceived as a defence against nuclear-armed ICBMs, its application has broadened to include shorter-ranged research and development over years 2004-2009 (General Accounting Office [GAOl The old English word for jail. GAOL. A prison or building designated by law or used by the sheriff, for the confinement or detention of those, whose persons are judicially ordered to be kept in custody. , 2003); however, this requirement must be balanced with other funded programs. The demands to support additional operational tempos, higher maintenance costs for aging weapon systems, and higher system acquisition costs, limit the available funding for new technology development. These increasing demands compete for the same money used for research and development of technology, and often the technology budget is further reduced. Additionally, the impact of company buyouts has reduced the military industrial research base in the United States United States, officially United States of America, republic (2005 est. pop. 295,734,000), 3,539,227 sq mi (9,166,598 sq km), North America. The United States is the world's third largest country in population and the fourth largest country in area. from 21 companies in 1993 to 5 companies in 2002 (Linster, Slate, & Waller Wal·ler , Edmund 1606-1687. English poet known for his harmonious love lyrics, including "Go, Lovely Rose" (1645). Noun 1. Waller - United States jazz musician (1904-1943) Fats Waller, Thomas Wright Waller , 2002). Consequently, this has resulted in substantial reduction in Independent Research and Development (IR&D) activities. In today's DoD environment, it is important that investments in technology are successfully transitioned to operational military systems. Changing to a capability-based acquisition strategy is another indicator of the significance of technology. Mr. Pete Aldridge For other uses of the term Aldridge, see . Aldridge is a town in the Metropolitan Borough of Walsall in the West Midlands, UK, although historically it was part of the county of Staffordshire until 1974. The recorded population in the 2001 Census was 16,862. identified in a memo (Aldridge, 2002) to the Secretary of Defense his intent to accelerate the flow of technology to the warfighter "Warfighter" is a term used by the United States Department of Defense to refer to any member of the US armed forces or a member of any armed forces under the US flag. It is intended to be neutral regarding military service or branch, gender, and service status. . Later, Mr. Aldridge (2003) announced his goal to initiate high-leverage technologies to create the warfighting capabilities and strategies of the future. Therefore, it is imperative that the technology meets maturity and performance requirements, prior to being transitioned to the acquisition system. Furthermore, a capability-based acquisition strategy will allow acquisition programs to pull advanced technology into systems faster, thus fielding systems with advanced technologies to the warfighter faster. The capability-based acquisition cycle also means that requirements will evolve faster, which mandates close monitoring of systems' requirements and the technologies we use to meet these requirements. THE PROBLEM Development of new defense technologies within the DoD is a multi-dimensional problem. First, DoD must resolve issues that result from immature immature /im·ma·ture/ (im?ah-chldbomacr´) unripe or not fully developed. im·ma·ture adj. Not fully grown or developed. immature unripe or not fully developed. technologies transition. The General Accounting Office (GAO) has stated that immature technology transition is the leading cause of weapon system problems (GAO, 1999). An important factor in the success of a new weapon system is ensuring that technologies are mature prior to being integrated (GAO, 1999). Second, the creation of parallel paths for the development of technology and the development of an acquisition weapon system has diluted di·lute tr.v. di·lut·ed, di·lut·ing, di·lutes 1. To make thinner or less concentrated by adding a liquid such as water. 2. To lessen the force, strength, purity, or brilliance of, especially by admixture. the link between technology and system performance requirements. The technologist has responsibility for managing the development of the technology, while the weapon system acquisitionist has responsibility for the development of the weapon system. Unfortunately, the technologist has different goals, environments, and perspectives than the system acquisitionist (McGrath McGrath or MacGrath may refer to: Geography
The technologist is motivated mo·ti·vate tr.v. mo·ti·vat·ed, mo·ti·vat·ing, mo·ti·vates To provide with an incentive; move to action; impel. mo to transition technologies into weapon systems. Thus, technologists are optimistic op·ti·mist n. 1. One who usually expects a favorable outcome. 2. A believer in philosophical optimism. op on the maturity assessment of their technology. The acquisitionist is motivated to meet system requirements, and often uses a risk adverse approach for the design process. Consequently, the acquisitionist is more likely to underestimate the maturity of new technologies. This forces the technologist to focus on risk mitigation MITIGATION. To make less rigorous or penal. 2. Crimes are frequently committed under circumstances which are not justifiable nor excusable, yet they show that the offender has been greatly tempted; as, for example, when a starving man steals bread to satisfy . These conflicting motivations justify the need for an objective methodology to assess a technologies fit with system performance requirements. As a technology's maturity increases, the criticality for decision support tools to determine transition readiness is also increased. Hence, a common understanding, between the technologist and the acquisitionist, is needed. PROPOSED METHODOLOGY One approach to develop a common understanding of technology readiness is to utilize a modified version of Garvey's system performance risk index (Garvey Gar·vey , Marcus (Moziah) Aurelius 1887-1940. Jamaican Black nationalist active in America in the 1920s. He founded the Universal Negro Improvement Association (1914) and later urged African Americans to establish an independent country in Africa. & Cho, 2003). The threshold value of a Technical Performance Measure (TPM (1) See TP monitor. (2) (Transactions Per Minute) The number of transactions processed within one minute. See TPS. (3) (Trusted Platform M ) divides performance into acceptable and unacceptable risk regions. In this manner, it is the goal of a system developer to reach the acceptable performance risk region. To get into the acceptable performance risk region, the technology must meet or exceed the identified TPM threshold. Garvey provided guidelines guidelines, n.pl a set of standards, criteria, or specifications to be used or followed in the performance of certain tasks. for calculating the achieved performance. The proposed methodology to assess technology readiness proposed in this paper is referred to as the Technology Performance Risk Index (TPRI). The index is based on the system's performance requirements and the ability of the technology to achieve that performance. The achieved performance is normalized so multiple requirements can be assessed simultaneously. A condensed con·dense v. con·densed, con·dens·ing, con·dens·es v.tr. 1. To reduce the volume or compass of. 2. To make more concise; abridge or shorten. 3. Physics a. solution for the two cases of the required performance behaviors is then calculated. In the first case, performance must decrease to meet the established TPM threshold. The achieved performance is computed as the inverse (mathematics) inverse - Given a function, f : D -> C, a function g : C -> D is called a left inverse for f if for all d in D, g (f d) = d and a right inverse if, for all c in C, f (g c) = c and an inverse if both conditions hold. of the percentage of the TPM threshold that the measured performance represents. The achieved performance, [A.sub.ij] at time i, for TPM j is calculated by: [A.sub.ij] = mini {threshold/[m.sub.ij], 1] Equation 1 where [m.sub.ij] is the measured performance. Examples of this type of required performance behavior are weight constraints CONSTRAINTS - A language for solving constraints using value inference. ["CONSTRAINTS: A Language for Expressing Almost-Hierarchical Descriptions", G.J. Sussman et al, Artif Intell 14(1):1-39 (Aug 1980)]. or mean time to repair TPMs. In the second case, performance must increase to meet the threshold and [A.sub.ij], at time i, for the jth TPM is computed using: [A.sub.ij] = min { [m.sub.ij]/threshold, 1} Equation 2 Again, [m.sub.ij] is the measured performance. In the increasing performance behavior, the achieved performance is equivalent to the percentage that the measured performance represents of the TPM threshold. Two examples of increase performance behavior TPMs would include number of units available or mean-time-between-failures. Garvey defines the system performance risk index as the amount of the remaining unmet performance relative to meeting a set of identified TPMs. Emphasis is placed on the unmet performance as issues for management to focus and resolve with priorities and allocation of resources allocation of resources Apportionment of productive assets among different uses. The issue of resource allocation arises as societies seek to balance limited resources (capital, labour, land) against the various and often unlimited wants of their members. . Although Garvey's method provides a quantitative measure of meeting a set of established requirements, it inherently lacks the inclusion of a true risk measure. More specifically, in Garvey's approach, unmet performance does not indicate what it will take to reach the acceptable risk region. It merely provides a measure of progress achieved at a certain time. This article presents a research effort to address the linkage linkage In mechanical engineering, a system of solid, usually metallic, links (bars) connected to two or more other links by pin joints (hinges), sliding joints, or ball-and-socket joints to form a closed chain or a series of closed chains. between technologies, system performance requirements and risks in the DoD environment. This methodology is used to measure risk associated with satisfying an identified set of TPMs for a given system. The TPRI provides information regarding performance risk associated with a technology to support the decisions of whether or not a certain technology is ready to be transitioned to an acquisition system. The TPRI offers a measure of the actual performance risk of a technology by providing an assessment of a given technologies ability to achieve performance requirements. Thus, a common understanding of performance risks between technologist and acquisitionist is accomplished. The impact of the TPRI can be described using the following analogy analogy, in biology, the similarities in function, but differences in evolutionary origin, of body structures in different organisms. For example, the wing of a bird is analogous to the wing of an insect, since both are used for flight. : a thermostat thermostat, automatic device that regulates temperature in an enclosed area by controlling heating or refrigerating systems. It is commonly connected to one of these systems, turning it on or off in order to maintain a predetermined temperature. measures actual outside temperature, yet to a human, the wind chill factor wind chill factor Wilderness medicine An index used to adjust the actual air temperature to express the intensity of cooling expected from a cold environment as a function of the ambient temperature and wind speed; the WCF is a measure of the effect of air is of more concern. In this same manner, the TPRI is like the wind chill factor, as it affords valuable information that allows insight into the technology that would not be obtained from individual metrics metrics Managed care A popular term for standards by which the quality of a product, service, or outcome of a particular form of Pt management is evaluated. See TQM. . Performance-based requirements criteria are typically established by an acquisitionist. Typically, these criteria and the basis for measurement are identified in an agreement with the technologist. This serves as a basis consisting of the individual requirements and associated threshold values against which technologies will be evaluated. This information is utilized to compare against the measured level of performance achieved. The TPRI extends Garvey's methodology to include a measure of performance risk so that acquisitionists can have access to information that will assist in setting priorities and allocating resources (Garvey & Cho, 2003). For this purpose, the Degree of Difficulty (DD) is the metric utilized by TPRI. The DD metric (Mankins, 1998 & 2002) provides a measure of anticipated risk, ranging from low level risk to high level risk, and can be considered as a probability of failure in regards to the technology achieving the objectives. In TPRI, the DD metric is modified to assign a numerical numerical expressed in numbers, i.e. Arabic numerals of 0 to 9 inclusive. numerical nomenclature a numerical code is used to indicate the words, or other alphabetical signals, intended. value to each of Mankins' defined levels. This provides a quantitative means to combine risks across various requirements. In this context, the DD metric is bounded by zero and one. Table 1 provides a summary of each of the DD levels with anticipated risk, and the numerical value, as well as the theoretical boundary levels. The lower boundary with a DD of zero indicates there is no risk involved in meeting the objectives and is guaranteed success. The DD at level 1 has a very low risk and is assigned as·sign tr.v. as·signed, as·sign·ing, as·signs 1. To set apart for a particular purpose; designate: assigned a day for the inspection. 2. a 0.1 value; a DD at level 2 has an anticipated moderate risk and has an assigned value of 0.3, while the DD at level 3 has a high risk, with a 0.5 value. A technology with very high risk is identified as DD level 4 and has a 0.7 value. In the case that a technology has a high expectation of failure, requiring a fundamental breakthrough, is assigned a DD level 5 with a 0.9 numerical value. In addition, the theoretical upper bound of the DD metric indicates the highest level of risk with no anticipated success (guaranteed failure), and is assigned a value of 1. A major attribute of TPRI is that it accounts for unmet performance and associated risk to quantify Quantify - A performance analysis tool from Pure Software. effects upon the achieved performance. Risk is defined as a measure of the probability and the severity of adverse effects (Haimes, 1998). The TPRI is applicable to the technical risk form; referred to as performance risk. The TPMs provide a gauge of technical progress measured against satisfying an identified set of thresholds pertaining per·tain intr.v. per·tained, per·tain·ing, per·tains 1. To have reference; relate: evidence that pertains to the accident. 2. to performance requirements. The TPRI correlates the performance risk associated with a technology not meeting the threshold value of a TPM. TPRI METHODOLOGY To formulate formulate /for·mu·late/ (for´mu-lat) 1. to state in the form of a formula. 2. to prepare in accordance with a prescribed or specified method. the TPRI model, the unmet performance and DD are combined to adjust the achieved performance. The TPRI is expressed mathematically as: TPRI = 1 - A/1+(1-A) * DD Equation 3 The unmet performance, 1-A, is a measure of the severity component of risk, while DD signifies the probability component of risk. These two components are combined to formulate a measure of performance risk of the unmet performance-based on a closed loop feedback mechanism. This index provides a measure of performance risks to meet the TPM threshold in an effort to reach the acceptable performance risk region goal. The behavior of the TRPI TRPI Tomas Rivera Policy Institute model is depicted de·pict tr.v. de·pict·ed, de·pict·ing, de·picts 1. To represent in a picture or sculpture. 2. To represent in words; describe. See Synonyms at represent. in Figure 1. The TPRI is plotted versus the performance achieved using DD as a parameter (1) Any value passed to a program by the user or by another program in order to customize the program for a particular purpose. A parameter may be anything; for example, a file name, a coordinate, a range of values, a money amount or a code of some kind. . The TPRI has a value of zero when all the performance measures have been achieved. The DD values that are between the theoretical bounds of zero and one indicate the perceived level of difficulty in developing the technology to meet the required system performance requirements. The theoretical lower boundary of TPRI is identified at DD=0, and corresponds to the line with the lowest TPRI value. This boundary indicates that there is no perceived performance Perceived performance, in computer engineering, refers to how quickly a software feature appears to perform its task. The concept applies mainly to user acceptance aspects. risk with guaranteed success, and it is equivalent to Garvey's approach of unmet performance as the measure of system performance risk. As the DD increases, the TPRI also increases. As expected, non-zero Adj. 1. non-zero - not involving zero cardinal - being or denoting a numerical quantity but not order; "cardinal numbers" DD yields a non-linear behavior between the achieved performance and the corresponding TPRI value. The DD=1.0 provides the theoretical upper bound, indicating a guaranteed failure. There is a maximum TPRI difference of 0.18 between the two theoretical bounded cases. The TPRI provides a realistic measure of performance risk associated with the technology to meet, or exceed, the established threshold. Thus, the TPRI yields valuable information to support the acquisitionist and the technologist in making sound decisions regarding the performance risk as a component of the transition readiness of a technology. ANALYSIS The TPRI is applied to existing published data (Garvey & Cho, 2003) as shown in Table 2. This data consists of a set of nine TPMs, corresponding threshold values, and the measured performance over the six various points of time. An assessment of the levels of measured performance across each of the TPMs during the time periods is presented. For example, the average processing delay Processing Delay Time a selling firm takes to record receipt of a payment and deposit it. increases in performance by decreasing the average processing delay, measured in milliseconds, from 3 msec at t=l, to 1.03 msec at t=5, to exceeding the TPM threshold (of 1 msec) with a measured performance of 0.98 msec at the sixth time period. The measured performance data contained in Table 2 indicates each of the nine TPM thresholds are either met or exceeded at the sixth time period. The achieved performances for TPMs with decreasing performance behavior are calculated using Equation 1. Examples of this decreasing performance behavior would include the following four TPMs: average processing delays, mean time to repair, payload (1) Refers to the "actual data" in a packet or file minus all headers attached for transport and minus all descriptive meta-data. In a network packet, headers are appended to the payload for transport and then discarded at their destination. weight, and engagement coordination. In order to meet the TPM threshold, the performance behavior is to be minimized. In a similar manner, Equation 2 is applied to calculate the achieved performances for TPMs with increasing performance behavior. Examples of this performance behavior would include: number of interceptors available, mean time between failure, single shot success probability, damage assessment accuracy, and number of software modules written. The performance behavior of these TPMs must be maximized to meet or exceed the TPM threshold. The resulting achieved performance data for each of the nine TPMs and each time measurement are tabulated in Table 3. The achieved performance measure is bounded by 0 and 1. The larger number value of achieved performance indicates that the technology performance is approaching the TPM threshold. An achieved performance of 1 indicates that the technology has either met or exceeded the TPM threshold and has accomplished the goal of entering the acceptable risk region. Table 4 provides the listing of the nine TPMs and the associated achieved performance. The Degree of Difficulties are arbitrarily selected (for demonstration purposes) for each TPM per each of the six time periods. The TPRI was computed for each individual TPM requirement for each time period. For example, at time period t=l, the average processing delay TPM has a TPRI of 0.75, 0.74 at t=2, 0.19 at t=3, and continues to improve until t=6, when the computed TPRI is zero, indicating that the TPM was met or exceeded. The total system level TPRI is also calculated for the technology for each of the six time periods. The aggregate TPRI for the technology is computed by averaging the TPRI values of the nine individual TPM requirements, and is identified in Table 4. As the technology advances in improved performance, the TPRI value decreases, indicating lower system performance risks. For example, the aggregate TPRI for the technology is 0.64 for the first time period, 0.49 for the second time period, and continues to improve (decrease) through the sixth time period, when the aggregate TPRI is zero. Figure 2 depicts the aggregate technology-level TPRI value for each time period. Observation of this figure indicates the areas of significant risk and helps decision makers with providing additional information pertaining to the performance risk involved with a technology to meet the threshold values associated with TPMs. At the sixth time period, the technology has achieved the acceptable risk region and has a zero-valued TPRI. TPRI BENEFITS The TPRI provides a realistic performance risk assessment based on performance requirements, Degree of Difficulty, and unmet performance. These components are combined in a closed-loop feedback manner to calculate the technology performance risk. This decision support tool provides insight to the risk involved in the unmet performance to meet TPM thresholds, and the level of activity required to meet or exceed the threshold. TPRI applies performance risks associated with an unmet requirement as correction/feedback to the achieved performance. Since TPRI is based on meeting TPM thresholds and identifying associated risks with unmet requirement, it provides common ground between technologist and acquisitionist. As a result, an improved understanding of the technology's capabilities to support the acquisition system is gained. CONCLUSION This research has focused on the development and demonstration of a quantitative methodology to evaluate and monitor technology to determine transition readiness. The TPRI provides a means to assess potential technologies and assist the decision maker in where to apply resources to address unmet requirements. The TPRI supports monitoring of performance of a technology against threshold limits. It integrates the technology degree of difficulty along with the system unmet requirements in a closed loop to gain additional information regarding a technology's performance risk over time. Additionally, it reduces the probability associated with immature technology being transitioned to a weapon system prematurely. This approach is anticipated to contribute toward level of success pertaining to the integration of technology into system(s) of the aerospace and defense domains. NEXT STEPS Future efforts will include examining methods to combine this quantitative Technology Performance Risk Index (TPRI) with a technology maturity metric, such as the widely utilized Technology Readiness Level Technology Readiness Level (TRL) is a measure used by some United States government agencies and many major world's companies (and agencies) to assess the maturity of evolving technologies (materials, components, devices, etc. (TRL TRL In currencies, this is the abbreviation for the Turkish Lira. Notes: The currency market, also known as the Foreign Exchange market, is the largest financial market in the world, with a daily average volume of over US $1 trillion. ). Various ranking and weighting schemes are planned to be examined for potential applicability in the TPRI calculation. There are plans to apply the TPRI as a decision support tool to assist a decision maker with evaluating and selecting the best of identified multiple technologies across same set of TPMs.
TABLE 1. DEGREE OF DIFFICULTY (DD) LEVELS WITH RISKS AND
ASSIGNED NUMERICAL VALUES
Degree of Difficulty Risk Level DD Value
Level 0 No Risk; Guaranteed Success 0.0
(Theoretical Lower Bound)
Level 1 Very Low Risk 0.1
Level 2 Moderate 0.3
Level 3 High 0.5
Level 4 Very High 0.7
Level 5 Extremely High Risk, Requiring a 0.9
Fundamental Breakthrough
Level 6 Guaranteed Failure 1.0
(Theoretical Upper Bound)
TABLE 2. MEASURED PERFORMANCE OF TPMS PER TIME PERIOD
Technical Measured Performance. m
Performance Measures Threshold t=1 t=2 t=3 t=4
A1--Average Processing 1 3 2.86 1.18 1.09
Delay (msec)
A2--Mean Time to 10 50 43 43 27
Repair (minutes)
A3--Payload Weight 950 2112 1764 1328 1189
(lbs)
A4--Engagement 0.01 0.1 0.04 0.032 0.02
Coordination (sec)
A5--Interceptors 150 67 128 134 139
Available (# of
units)
A6--Mean Time Between 500 100 189 223 348
Failure (hrs)
A7--Single Shot Success 0.95 0.87 0.89 0.91 0.934
Probability (%)
A8--Damage Assessment 0.995 0.6 0.878 0.94 0.0945
Accuracy (%)
A9--Software Coding 763 578 643 687 698
(# coded modules)
Technical Measured Performance. m
Performance Measures t=5 t=6
A1--Average Processing 1.03 0.98
Delay (msec)
A2--Mean Time to 12 9
Repair (minutes)
A3--Payload Weight 1008 948
(lbs)
A4--Engagement 0.01 0.01
Coordination (sec)
A5--Interceptors 142 159
Available (# of
units)
A6--Mean Time Between 379 521
Failure (hrs)
A7--Single Shot Success 0.94 0.99
Probability (%)
A8--Damage Assessment 0.999 1
Accuracy (%)
A9--Software Coding 723 763
(# coded modules)
TABLE 3. ACHIEVED PERFORMANCE (PERCENTAGE)
OF TPMS PER TIME PERIOD
Technical Achieved Performance, A
Performance Measures Threshold t=1 t=2 t=3 t=4 t=5
A1--Average Processing 1 0.33 0.35 0.85 0.92 0.97
Delay (msec)
A2--Mean Time to 10 0.20 0.23 0.23 0.37 0.83
Repair (minutes)
A3--Payload Weight 950 0.45 0.54 0.72 0.80 0.94
(lbs)
A4--Engagement 0.01 0.10 0.25 0.31 0.50 1.00
Coordination (sec)
A5--Interceptors 150 0.45 0.85 0.89 0.93 0.95
Available (# of
units)
A6--Mean Time Between 500 0.20 0.38 0.45 0.70 0.76
Failure (hrs)
A7--Single Shot Success 0.95 0.92 0.94 0.96 0.98 0.99
Probability (%)
A8--Damage Assessment 0.995 0.60 0.88 0.94 0.95 1.00
Accuracy (%)
A9--Software Coding 763 0.76 0.84 0.90 0.91 0.95
(# coded modules)
Technical Achieved Performance, A
Performance Measures t=6
A1--Average Processing 1
Delay (msec)
A2--Mean Time to 1
Repair (minutes)
A3--Payload Weight 1
(lbs)
A4--Engagement 1
Coordination (sec)
A5--Interceptors 1
Available (# of
units)
A6--Mean Time Between 1
Failure (hrs)
A7--Single Shot Success 1
Probability (%)
A8--Damage Assessment 1
Accuracy (%)
A9--Software Coding 1
(# coded modules)
TABLE 4A. TPMS AND ASSOCIATED ACHIEVED PERFORMANCE
Achieved Degree of TPRI per
Technical Performance Measures Performance Difficulty Requirement
t1
A1--Average Processing Delay 0.33 0.5 0.75
(msec)
A2--Mean Time to Repair 0.20 0.9 0.88
(minutes)
A3--Payload Weight (lbs) 0.45 0.5 0.65
A4--Engagement Coordination 0.10 0.7 0.94
(sec)
A5--Interceptors Available 0.45 0.5 0.65
(# of units)
A6--Mean Time Between Failure 0.20 0.9 0.88
(hrs)
A7--Single Shot Success 0.92 0.3 0.11
Probability (%)
A8--Damage Assessment 0.60 0.7 0.53
Accuracy (%)
A9--Software Coding 0.76 0.7 0.35
(# coded modules)
Total TPRI, at t1 = 0.64
Achieved Degree of TPRI per
Technical Performance Measures Performance Difficulty Requirement
t2
A1--Average Processing Delay 0.35 0.5 0.74
(msec)
A2--Mean Time to Repair 0.23 0.9 0.86
(minutes)
A3--Payload Weight (lbs) 0.54 0.5 0.56
A4--Engagement Coordination 0.25 0.5 0.82
(sec)
A5--Interceptors Available 0.85 0.3 0.18
(# of units)
A6--Mean Time Between Failure 0.38 0.9 0.76
(hrs)
A7--Single Shot Success 0.94 0.3 0.08
Probability (%)
A8--Damage Assessment 0.88 0.5 0.17
Accuracy (%)
A9--Software Coding 0.84 0.5 0.22
(# coded modules)
Total TPRI, at t2 = 0.49
Achieved Degree of TPRI per
Technical Performance Measures Performance Difficulty Requirement
t3
A1--Average Processing Delay 0.85 0.3 0.19
(msec)
A2--Mean Time to Repair 0.23 0.9 0.86
(minutes)
A3--Payload Weight (lbs) 0.72 0.3 0.34
A4--Engagement Coordination 0.31 0.5 0.77
(sec)
A5--Interceptors Available 0.89 0.3 0.13
(# of units)
A6--Mean Time Between Failure 0.45 1.9 0.70
(hrs)
A7--Single Shot Success 0.96 1.3 0.05
Probability (%)
A8--Damage Assessment 0.94 0.3 0.07
Accuracy (%)
A9--Software Coding 0.90 0.3 0.13
(# coded modules)
Total TPRI, at t3 = 0.36
TABLE 4B. TPMS AND ASSOCIATED ACHIEVED PERFORMANCE
Achieved Degree of TPRI per
Technical Performance Measures Performance Difficulty Requirement
t4
A1--Average Processing Delay 0.92 0.1 0.09
(msec)
A2--Mean Time to Repair 0.37 0.7 0.74
(minutes)
A3--Payload Weight (lbs) 0.80 0.3 0.25
A4--Engagement Coordination 0.50 0.5 0.60
(sec)
A5--Interceptors Available 0.93 0.1 0.08
(# of units)
A6--Mean Time Between Failure 0.70 0.9 0.45
(hrs)
A7--Single Shot Success 0.98 0.3 0.02
Probability (%)
A8--Damage Assessment 0.95 0.1 0.05
Accuracy (%)
A9--Software Coding 0.91 0.3 0.11
(# coded modules)
Total TPRI, at t4 = 0.27
Achieved Degree of TPRI per
Technical Performance Measures Performance Difficulty Requirement
t5
A1--Average Processing Delay 0.97 0.1 0.03
(msec)
A2--Mean Time to Repair 0.83 0.7 0.25
(minutes)
A3--Payload Weight (lbs) 0.94 0.3 0.07
A4--Engagement Coordination 1.00 0 0.00
(sec)
A5--Interceptors Available 0.95 0.1 0.06
(# of units)
A6--Mean Time Between Failure 0.76 0.9 0.38
(hrs)
A7--Single Shot Success 0.99 0.1 0.01
Probability (%)
A8--Damage Assessment 1.00 0 0.00
Accuracy (%)
A9--Software Coding 0.95 0.3 0.07
(# coded modules)
Total TPRI, at t5 = 0.10
Achieved Degree of TPRI per
Technical Performance Measures Performance Difficulty Requirement
t6
A1--Average Processing Delay 1.00 0 0.00
(msec)
A2--Mean Time to Repair 1.00 0 0.00
(minutes)
A3--Payload Weight (lbs) 1.00 0 0.00
A4--Engagement Coordination 1.00 0 0.00
(sec)
A5--Interceptors Available 1.00 0 0.00
(# of units)
A6--Mean Time Between Failure 1.00 0 0.00
(hrs)
A7--Single Shot Success 1.00 0 0.00
Probability (%)
A8--Damage Assessment 1.00 0 0.00
Accuracy (%)
A9--Software Coding 1.00 0 0.00
(# coded modules)
Total TPRI, at t6 = 0.0
ACKNOWLEDGMENTS See About this product. This work is supported in part by the U.S. Army Space and Missile Defense Command Space and Missile Defense Command (SMDC) is a specialized major command within the United States Army. The SMDC is an organization composed of five components:
SMDC Server Management Daughter Card SMDC St. Mary's Duluth Clinic (Duluth, MN) SMDC Shielded Mild Detonating Cord ) in Huntsville, Alabama Huntsville is the county seat of Madison County, Alabama. Huntsville is the largest city in northern Alabama in a region of a half-million people, with the city proper having 168,132 residents (2006 estimate). . REFERENCES Aldridge, E.C. "Pete," Jr. (2002, August). Memorandum to Secretary of Defense from Under Secretary of Defense (Acquisition, Technology, and Logistics). Aldridge, E.C. "Pete," Jr. (2003, January-February). Priorities and acquisition. Program Manager, XXXII (51), 46-49. Garvey, P. R., & Cho, C. (2003, Spring). An index to measure a system's performance risk. Acquisition Review Quarterly, 33(2), 189-199. General Accounting Office. (1999, July 30). Better management of technology development can improve weapon system outcomes. Washington, DC: Author. General Accounting Office. (2003, April). Missile defense knowledge-based practices are being adopted, but risks remain. Washington, DC: Author. Haimes, Y. Y. (1998). Risk modeling, assessment, and management. New York New York, state, United States New York, Middle Atlantic state of the United States. It is bordered by Vermont, Massachusetts, Connecticut, and the Atlantic Ocean (E), New Jersey and Pennsylvania (S), Lakes Erie and Ontario and the Canadian province of : John Wiley John Wiley may refer to:
Linster, B. G., Slate, S., & Waller, R. L. (2002, Spring). Consolidation of the U.S. defense industrial base: Impact on research expenditures. Acquisition Review Quarterly, 29(2), 143-150. Lukens, B. (2003, January). Science and technology transition. Retrieved from: http://center.dau.mil/ TopicalSessionstemplates/SnT_and_Tech_Insertion/learning_script.htm Mankins, J. C. (2002). Approaches to strategic research and technology (R&T) analysis and road mapping. International Astronautical Federation International Astronautical Federation (IAF) is based in Paris. It was founded in 1951 as a non-governmental organization. It has 165 members from 44 countries across the world. They are drawn from industry, professional associations, government organizations and learned societies. , 51, 1-9, 3-21. Mankins, J. C. (1998, March). Research & development degree of difficulty (R&D3). White Paper. McGrath, M. (2003, June). Transitioning S&T projects to acquisition: A Navy "best practice." Presentation given at the Defesne Acquisition University Program Managers' Workshop. Fort Belvoir Fort Belvoir is a United States military installation and a census-designated place (CDP) in Fairfax County, Virginia, United States. The population was 7,176 at the 2000 census. , VA. AUTHOR BIOGRAPHIES Dr. Sherry sherry [from Jérez], naturally dry fortified wine, pale amber to brown in tint. The term sherry originally referred to wines made from grapes grown in the region of Jérez de la Frontera, Andalusia, Spain; today it may refer to any of the Mahafza is a systems engineer at the U.S. Army Space and Missile Defense Command. She holds three Defense Acquisition Workforce Improvement Act The Defense Acquisition Workforce Improvement Act (DAWIA) was signed into law in November 1990. It requires the Department of Defense to establish education and training standards, requirements, and courses for the civilian and military workforce. (DAWIA DAWIA Defense Acquisition Workforce Improvement Act of 1990 ) level III certifications in program management and in Systems Planning, Research, Development and Engineering for Systems Engineering as well as Science and Technology Manager career fields. She also holds a bachelor's and master's degrees master's degree n. An academic degree conferred by a college or university upon those who complete at least one year of prescribed study beyond the bachelor's degree. Noun 1. in electrical and computer engineering, and is currently pursuing a Ph.D. in systems engineering from the University of Alabama The University of Alabama (also known as Alabama, UA or colloquially as 'Bama) is a public coeducational university located in Tuscaloosa, Alabama, USA. Founded in 1831, UA is the flagship campus of the University of Alabama System. in Huntsville. The current article is based on her dissertation dis·ser·ta·tion n. A lengthy, formal treatise, especially one written by a candidate for the doctoral degree at a university; a thesis. dissertation Noun 1. research and is supported by the U.S. Army Space and Missile Defense Command. (E-mail address See Internet address. e-mail address - electronic mail address : sherry.mahafza@us.army.mil An Internet address domain name for a military agency. See Internet address. (networking) mil - The top-level domain for entities affiliated with US armed forces. ) Dr. Paul J. Componation is an associate professor of Industrial and Management Systems Engineering with The University of Alabama in Huntsville (UAH UAH In currencies, this is the abbreviation for the Ukraine Hryvnia. Notes: The currency market, also known as the Foreign Exchange market, is the largest financial market in the world, with a daily average volume of over US $1 trillion. ) and the Systems Engineering Resident Research at the Marshall Space Flight Center The George C. Marshall Space Flight Center (MSFC), the original home of NASA, is a lead center for propulsion, Space Shuttle propulsion, Shuttle external fuel tank, crew training and payloads, International Space Station (ISS) design and construction, for computers, networks, and in Huntsville. His primary research interests are in technology and system development. His professional affiliations include the Institute of Industrial Engineers (IIE See Apple II. ), the International Council on Systems Engineering The International Council on Systems Engineering or INCOSE (pronounced as in-co-see) is a non-profit membership organization dedicated to the advancement of systems engineering and to raise the professional stature of systems engineers. (INCOSE INCOSE International Council On Systems Engineering ) and the American Society of Engineering Management (ASEM ASEM Asia-Europe Meeting ASEM American Society for Engineering Management (Rolla, MO) ASEM Aviation, Space, and Environmental Medicine ASEM Assembly of Station by EVA Methods ASEM Application-Specific Electronic Module ). (Email address See Internet address. : pjc@ise.uah.edu) Dr. Donald D Donald D is a rapper originally from North Carolina. In New York, he started his career as a rapper, as part of The B-Boys, working with Afrika Islam and Grandmaster Flash. . Tippett holds masters and doctoral degrees in industrial engineering from Texas A&M University, and a bachelor's degree in mechanical engineering from the U. S. Naval Academy. He is a member of the engineering management faculty at the University of Alabama in Huntsville. His previous experience includes 10 years active duty as a carrier-based naval aviator with the U. S. Navy. He held a project management position in materials management Materials management is the branch of logistics that deals with the tangible components of a supply chain. Specifically, this covers the acquisition of spare parts and replacements, quality control of purchasing and ordering such parts, and the standards involved in ordering, systems with Union Carbide Union Carbide Corporation (Union Carbide) is one of the oldest chemical and polymers companies in the United States, and currently has more than 3,800 employees. Corporation and served as program manager, advanced technology with Newport News Newport News, independent city (1990 pop. 170,045), SE Va., on the Virginia peninsula, at the mouth of the James River, off Hampton Roads, near Norfolk; inc. 1896. Shipbuilding. (Email address: tippett@ise.uah.edu) |
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