A not so graceful landing: despite positive returns, Grady's portfolio couldn't beat the Dow or S&P 500.Graceful Grady, president of financial management firm Grady the domestic stock market to soar the way it did in the late 90s. He reasoned rising interest rates would hinder consumer and corporate spending, which in turn would weigh down the market. "Overall, the market was what I expected," Grady says. "There was growth across some industries but nothing that would really turn heads like back in in the dot-com days." Grady maintains that, to make winning stock selections, investors need to focus on tracking a company's balance sheet-monitoring its net income, cost of operations, and debt. However, following that formula produced mixed results. During the 52-week period from Feb. 1, 2005, to Feb. 1, 2006, the portfolio of five stocks Grady selected for Black Enterprise readers produced a 2.62% gain. By comparison, the Standard & Poor's 500 Index posted a 7.82% gain, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average Dow Jones Industrial Average The best known U.S. index of stocks. A price-weighted average of 30 actively traded blue-chip stocks, primarily industrials including stocks that trade on the New York Stock Exchange. grew by 3.81% during the same period. Unfortunately, three of the five stocks Grady selected had down years. Comcast Corp. (NASDAQ NASDAQ in full National Association of Securities Dealers Automated Quotations U.S. market for over-the-counter securities. Established in 1971 by the National Association of Securities Dealers (NASD), NASDAQ is an automated quotation system that reports on : CMCSA), which develops and operates broadband communications networks The transmission channels interconnecting all client and server stations as well as all supporting hardware and software. and provides high-speed Internet See broadband. , video, and phone services, fell 11.42%, from $31.60 to $27.99. Grady says the stock moved up, but then fell after news broke that the company would be spending more money on operations. The stock also recently took a 69% plunge in fourth-quarter profits as a consequence of damage from Katrina and other hurricanes, lower investment income, and higher tax rates. Sonus Networks Inc. (NASDAQ: SONS) also had a lackluster performance. The provider of voice infrastructure products declined 23%, dropping from $6.13 to $4.72 per share. Grady believes that consumers have not yet caught on to Voice over Internet Protocol See Internet and TCP/IP. (networking) Internet Protocol - (IP) The network layer for the TCP/IP protocol suite widely used on Ethernet networks, defined in STD 5, RFC 791. IP is a connectionless, best-effort packet switching protocol. technology. But on the bright side, he says, the company recently announced that the amount of voice traffic carried over Sonus' industry-leading solutions increased 70% since December 2004. "I still think this stock will rise." Grady had better luck with eBay Inc. (NASDAQ: EBAY), the online auction site, which had a 2-for-1 stock split Feb. 17, 2005. The stock jumped 9.98% from a split-adjusted $38.97 to $42.86. "We see management putting money back into the company and also buying stock," Grady says. Motorola Inc. (NYSE NYSE See: New York Stock Exchange : MOT), manufacturer of cell phones and two-way radios A voice network that provides an always-on connection enabling the user to just "push the button and talk." Also called "dispatch radio," two-way radio has traditionally been used by police, fire, taxi and other mobile fleets. and provider of wireless infrastructure equipment and network switching systems Switching systems (communications) The assemblies of switching and control devices provided so that any station in a communications system may be connected as desired with any other station. , accounted for the bulk of Grady's portfolio gains. Motorola improved its stock performance 43.76%, primarily because "consumers loved the ultra-thin RAZR V3 cell phone with digital camera, MPEG (Moving Pictures Experts Group) An ISO/ITU standard for compressing digital video. Pronounced "em-peg," it is the universal standard for digital terrestrial, cable and satellite TV, DVDs and digital video recorders (DVRs). 4 video playback, and Bluetooth wireless technology," says Grady. The stock price increased from $15.86 to $22.80. Grady's final selection, General Electric Co. (NYSE: GE), which develops and markets a range of electrical appliances, lighting, and industrial automation products, also had an off year. The stock fell 6.23%, from $36.28 to $33.14. "This company uses a lot of energy," says Grady, "so the continuing increase in oil prices last year affected the bottom line." |
|
||||||||||||||||||

Printer friendly
Cite/link
Email
Feedback
Reader Opinion