A few insights into cliquet options.I. INTRODUCTIONThe term "cliquet option" is ambiguous. It may refer either to a subset of the lookback options characterized by a small number of fixing dates that are not necessarily uniformly spaced, or to portfolios of forward start options. The latter are also known as reset strike options or ratchet options, to avoid confusion. This paper deals with the former kind of contract, that does not raise the same pricing and hedging issues as reset strike options. Cliquet options, in this sense, are heavily traded in the markets, especially as building blocks for many structured products. In particular, a lot of capital-guaranteed investments provide a participation in an index based on a percentage of the best recorded index value over a number of contractually prespecified dates. There are also a lot of equity-linked bonds whose rate of interest is based on a similar formula. Generally speaking, cliquet options are appealing to investors because they inherit, at least partially, the very attractive payoff of lookback options, while rendering it both more affordable and more flexible, thanks to the decrease in the updating frequency of the running extremum of the underlying asset price, as well as to the possible partial and non uniform spanning of the option life. They also have many advantages compared to other options that allow their holders to << lock in >> positive intrinsic values prior to expiry, such as ladder or shout options. In particular, unlike ladder options, they do not cap the greatest possible intrinsic value Intrinsic Value 1. The value of a company or an asset based on an underlying perception of the value. 2. For call options, this is the difference between the underlying stock's price and the strike price. from the start, and they do not require their holders to have precise anticipations on a set of target price increases in the underlying asset. However, cliquet options raise a number of pricing and hedging issues. Dynamic hedging Dynamic hedging A strategy that involves rebalancing hedge positions as market conditions change; a strategy that seeks to insure the value of a portfolio using a synthetic put option. is costly because of sharp delta increases during the option life and oscillations oscillations See Cortical oscillations. of gamma between fixing dates. Pure static hedging is not possible. A semi-static strategy can replicate the option payoff but it is difficult to translate it into a reliable fair price for the option because it is heavily exposed to volatility risk Volatility risk The risk in the value of options portfolios due to the unpredictable changes in the volatility of the underlying asset. . Finally, it is not easy to come up with a convenient analytical solution of the pricing problem because of quickly increasing dimension. This paper attempts to address these various issues. In Section II, the specific properties Specific properties of a substance are derived from other intrinsic and extrinsic properties (or intensive and extensive properties) of that substance. For example, the density of steel (a specific and intrinsic property) can be derived from measurements of the mass of a steel bar of cliquet options are highlighted, in comparison with alternative contracts traded in the markets such as lookback, ladder and shout options. Then, the difficulties associated with dynamic hedging are briefly analyzed, leading to the presentation of a semi-static rollover A graphic element in an application or on a Web page that changes its color or shape when the pointer is moved (rolled) over it. See JavaScript rollover. See also n-key rollover. strategy to replicate the cliquet option payoff. In Section III, closed form valuation formulae are provided, first in dimension 3 and 4, then for any number of fixing dates. The numerical implementation of these formulae is dealt with in the remainder of Section III, while Section IV provides a proof of some of the analytical results in Section III. II. SPECIFIC PROPERTIES OF CLIQUET OPTIONS The idea of locking-in positive intrinsic values prior to the option's expiry is embedded Inserted into. See embedded system. in a number of European-type financial options. The type of contract that provides this feature to its fullest extent is the lookback option, whose payoff at expiry T writes (for a call with fixed strike): [MATHEMATICAL EXPRESSION NOT REPRODUCIBLE IN ASCII ASCII or American Standard Code for Information Interchange, a set of codes used to represent letters, numbers, a few symbols, and control characters. Originally designed for teletype operations, it has found wide application in computers. ] (2.1) where S(t), t [greater than or equal to] 0 is the underlying asset and K is the strike price. Instead of taking into account only the terminal asset value, all the prices quoted from time 0 to time T are factored in when computing the option payoff. The running maximum of S(t) is continuously and automatically updated. Taking K=S(0), that is, defining the strike price as the value of the underlying at the contract's inception, this contract guarantees its holder that he or she will sell the underlying at the highest in the interval [0,T]. Buying at the lowest and selling at the highest, these are the ultimate goals of equity investors. The difficult problem of market timing, whether it be market entry or market exit, is thus automatically solved in an optimal manner by such contracts, that were originally valued by Conze and Viswanathan (1991). The hi-lo option takes this idea even further, as it automatically captures the greatest variability of the underlying asset over the option life, yielding at expiry the following difference: [MATHEMATICAL EXPRESSION NOT REPRODUCIBLE IN ASCII] (2.2) The main drawback of these two types of contracts is quite obvious: they are very expensive, so that option holders are rather unlikely to reach the breakeven point and thus receive a positive return from their investment. One simple way to lower the cost of lookback options consists in defining a discrete updating frequency of the running maximum or minimum. By the way, there can never be truly continuous updating in practice, even for the most liquid traded stocks, because of the minimum time gap between two quotations in the market, which can be very short but never arbitrarily short. It is clear that decreasing the updating frequency to, say, one day (closing market price) or, better, one week, will result in a lower expected value Expected value The weighted average of a probability distribution. Also known as the mean value. of the option and hence a lower premium. Such contracts are called discretely monitored lookback options. They preserve the global lookback property since there are still many equally spaced fixing dates, but not to its full extent. Cliquet options are essentially a form of discretely monitored lookback options, albeit with three differences in practice: * there are usually few fixing dates * the lookback period may not span the entire option life * the fixing dates are not always equally spaced Denoting by {[t.sub.1], [t.sub.2], ..., [t.sub.n]} the set of the n times at which positive intrinsic option values can be locked in--these times being called the fixing dates, with t(0) = 0 < [t.sub.1] < [t.sub.2] < ... < [t.sub.n] = T, one can write the payoff of a cliquet call as follows : [(max(S([t.sub.1]),S([t.sub.2]), ... S([t.sub.n])) - K).sup.+] (2.3) It must be pointed out that, in the markets, the term "cliquet", when applied to a call option, is sometimes used interchangeably to refer to a ratchet option, whereby the strike price resets at each fixing date to the prevailing stock price while at the same time locking in the performance of the previous period, thus yielding at expiry the following payoff: [n.summation summation n. the final argument of an attorney at the close of a trial in which he/she attempts to convince the judge and/or jury of the virtues of the client's case. (See: closing argument) over (i=0)] max[S([t.sub.i+1]) - S([t.sub.i]), 0] (2.4) Compared to payoff (2.3), payoff (2.4) has no fixed strike and adds every positive contribution up until expiry. Ratchet options are simply a portfolio of forward starting options, hence they admit perfect static replication, unlike cliquet options (Buetow, 1999; Matosek, 2008). There are no restrictions on the location of the fixing dates over [0,T] in a cliquet option contract. In particular, they may all be concentrated in a specific subinterval of [0,T] and leave large parts of [0,T] non monitored. This flexibility is valuable to investors because it enables them to tailor the option contract to their particular anticipations or hedging requirements, while it substantially reduces the option premium by waiving the lookback property when it is not needed. The specificity of cliquet options is better grasped through a short analysis of their differences with alternative contracts that also embed a lock-in mechanism. For instance, ladder options are contracts whereby the set of the underlying asset price levels that can be locked in before expiry is prespecified at time zero - they are called the "rungs". Denoting by L the highest level or rung reached over the option life, a ladder call then provides its holder with the following payoff: max [S(T) - K,L - K,0] (2.5) Ladder options can be valued as combinations of barrier options and vanilla options (De Weert, 2008). The rungs may be attained at any time prior to T, but all prices other than the rungs and the terminal value of S will not be taken into account when computing the option payoff. In other words Adv. 1. in other words - otherwise stated; "in other words, we are broke" put differently , the difference with a cliquet option is two-fold: there are no fixing dates and the maximum level that can be locked in is bounded. One advantage, as far as risk-averse investors are concerned, is that if they set the first rung of the ladder close enough to the spot price at the contract's inception, they are very likely to receive a minimum positive payoff, due to the high probability that the first rung will be attained. However, by definition, this minimum positive payoff is low. You need to add more and more rungs if you want the expected payoff to grow. But then, the premium of the ladder option Ladder Option An option that locks-in gains once the underlying reaches predetermined price levels or "rungs," guaranteeing some profit even if the underlying security falls back below these levels before the option expires. gradually tends to that of a lookback option. If you think that the actual realized volatility Realized volatility Sometimes referred to as the historical volatility, this term usually used in the context of derivatives. While the implied volatility refers to the market's assessment of future volatility, the realized volatility measures what actually happened in the past. of the underlying will be higher than the implied volatility Implied volatility The expected volatility in a stock's return derived from its option price, maturity date, exercise price, and riskless rate of return, using an option pricing model such as Black-Scholes. priced by the market, then you might want to elevate the first rung in your ladder option to lower the premium but it is clearly risky to do so. In contrast to a ladder option, a cliquet option does not require its holder to have precise anticipations on a set of target price increases in the underlying asset, which is attractive in uncertain markets or when you do not have enough expertise. Also, cliquet options do not involve capping the greatest possible intrinsic value from the start. Such a capping mechanism obviously does not allow to fully exploit market movements. Moreover, unlike ladder-type contracts, cliquet options enable their holders to take advantage of specific time-related views or constraints. For instance, if there is a strong case that the underlying asset price will probably reach its maximum during a given subinterval of [0,T], because of scheduled events such a public announcement liable to provide impetus to the stock price of a company or elections likely to have a major impact on a currency, then the investor had better locate most of the fixing dates in this specific time area. Indeed, the shorter the lock-in period, the larger the drop in the option premium. Ultimately, you might even be able to generate a very high payoff with a single fixing date prior to expiry, which makes the option very affordable. If you are uncertain about both the magnitude and the timing of the underlying asset price increases, an alternative strategy is to turn to a shout option Shout Option An exotic option that allows the holder to lock in a defined profit while maintaining the right to continue participating in gains without a loss of locked-in monies. . The latter allows you to lock in the intrinsic value of the option at any time prior to expiry--an action referred to as a " shout ", thus providing the following payoff at maturity (for a call): max[S(T) - K,S([t.sup.*]) - K,0] (2.6) where [t.sup.*] is the time chosen to "shout". A shout option is valued in much the same way as an American option (Windcliff et al., 2001). This contract is well suited to investors who wish to play a more active role during the option life and who are not satisfied with the fact that a contract would prespecify either the possible lock-in price levels (ladder option) or the times at which the underlying asset price can be locked in (cliquet option). Compared to a ladder option, one advantage is that you are not stuck at a rung: if the underlying asset price reaches the otherwise highest prespecified rung and keeps on rising, you can wait before you shout in order to lock in even higher levels. Also, you can lock in any positive intrinsic value before expiry, including all those below the first rung or between two different rungs of a ladder option. Relative to a cliquet option, the holder of a shout option is free to wait and see how the market moves before deciding when to lock in an underlying asset price. On the downside, this generates uncertainty as you never know when it is optimal to shout, so that you are faced with the possibility of subsequent regrets, whereas a cliquet option provides as many possibilities of locking in asset price levels as there are fixing dates. Nothing theoretically rules out allowing for several "shouts" during the option life but then the option quickly becomes more expensive than a cliquet option. Also, shout options require steady monitoring and a lot of investors do not want to dedicate ded·i·cate tr.v. ded·i·cat·ed, ded·i·cat·ing, ded·i·cates 1. To set apart for a deity or for religious purposes; consecrate. 2. too much of their time to manage their option position. Lastly, from the point of view of derivatives sellers, shout options are difficult to hedge because of the unpredictability of the exercise time. For all these reasons, cliquet options are more popular than shout options in the markets. As far as hedging is concerned, there are differences between the dynamics of the delta of a cliquet call and those of a vanilla call. In general, unless the option is then deeply out-of-the-money, the delta of a cliquet call will significantly increase in the vicinity of a fixing date as a consequence of the lock-in mechanism. Before the first fixing date [t.sub.1], this phenomenon is observed especially when there is little time left before [t.sub.1] and when the underlying asset is then trading near the strike. If it is then trading far below the strike, though, the delta of the cliquet call will be quite similar to that of a vanilla call. If S([t.sub.1])>K, the holder of the cliquet call option is sure to receive at least S([t.sub.1])>K at expiry. This is why the value of a cliquet call is less sensitive than that of a vanilla call to a decline in the value of S below the level S([t.sub.1]) after time [t.sub.1]. It will remain sensitive to such in a decline in the value of S, still, as the latter has a negative impact on the probability that S will reach levels above S([t.sub.1]) at fixing dates subsequent to [t.sub.1]. But at least, unlike a vanilla call, a decline in the value of S below the level S([t.sub.1]) after time [t.sub.1] has no negative impact on the probability that the option will end in-the-money at expiry. In the vicinity of the second fixing date, [t.sub.2], the magnitude of the delta increase will depend on the current and past levels of the underlying. If the difference S([t.sub.1])-K is positive and S is trading near the level S([t.sub.1]) little before [t.sub.2], then the delta increase is sharp. If S rises above the level S([t.sub.1]) and the time is close to [t.sub.2], then the delta of the cliquet call tends to 1 and the gamma drops to zero. The more volatility around the level S([t.sub.1]) between [t.sub.1] and [t.sub.2], the more delta oscillates, with gamma reaching a local maximum at the level S([t.sub.1]) just before [t.sub.2]. The same analysis carries over to any two consecutive fixing dates. Overall, there may be several areas of sharp delta fluctuations during the option life. These fluctuations will be particularly pronounced when the time is near the last fixing date and the underlying asset is trading near the latest locked-in maximum value. Thus, a delta hedging Delta Hedging An options strategy that aims to reduce (hedge) the risk associated with price movements in the underlying asset by offsetting long and short positions. For example, a long call position may be delta hedged by shorting the underlying stock. strategy may turn out to be very costly on a long maturity option, as high transaction costs are incurred due to the frequent rebalancing Rebalancing The process of realigning the weightings of one's portfolio of assets. Notes: For example, if your portfolio's proportion of stock has grown too large for your intended assets weightings and risk tolerance, you might rebalance by selling some stock and putting of the hedging portfolio. This issue is compounded when the option is written on an asset with limited liquidity or jumpy returns, as explained by Petrelli et al. (2008). This is why, in practice, the sale of a cliquet option may be hedged by implementing a semi-static rollover strategy. Assuming there are three only fixing dates, [t.sub.1], [t.sub.2], [t.sub.3] and the option expiry is [t.sub.3], the semi-static hedge of the sale of a cliquet call would pro ceed as follows: --at time zero, buy a vanilla call struck at K and expiring at [t.sub.1]. --at time [t.sub.1] if S([t.sub.1])>K then buy a new call struck at S([t.sub.1]) and expiring at [t.sub.2]; if S([t.sub.1])<K then buy a new call struck at K and expiring at [t.sub.2]. --at time [t.sub.2], if S([t.sub.2])>K then buy a new call struck at S([t.sub.2]) and expiring at [t.sub.3]; if S([t.sub.2])<K and S([t.sub.1])<K then buy a new call struck at K and expiring at [t.sub.3]; if S([t.sub.2])<K and S([t.sub.1])>K then buy a new call struck at S([t.sub.1]) and expiring at [t.sub.3]. The same procedure easily extends to a higher numbe r of fixing dates. However, it does not work without costs. First, the ability to implement the hedge depends on the availability of the required options in the market, which may be a problem if the underlying is not liquid enough or if the maturities are non-standard. Even if the required options are traded, there are vanilla option Vanilla Option A normal option with no special or unusual features. Notes: A plain vanilla option is your plain run-of-the-mill option, with your standard expiry and strike price. See also: Exotic Option, Expiration Date, Option, Strike Price bid-ask spreads that need to be factored in. Besides, it is not easy to value the cost of this semi-static rollover strategy at the time the cliquet call is sold. Indeed, it involves purchasing options in the future whose strikes are not known at time zero and depend on future values of S. Numerical methods must be used to approximate the value of these future contracts. Whatever numerical methods are used, the skew (1) The misalignment of a document or punch card in the feed tray or hopper that prohibits it from being scanned or read properly. (2) In facsimile, the difference in rectangularity between the received and transmitted page. must also be taken into account to obtain a reliable price. When S([t.sub.1])<K and S([t.sub.2])<K, both vanilla options bought at times [t.sub.1] and [t.sub.2] are struck at K. To value the former at time zero, one should look at the [[t.sub.1], [t.sub.2]] forward implied volatility point on the volatility surface. It is important to bear in mind that the associated skew is the [[t.sub.1], [t.sub.2]] one, which is typically steeper than the [[t.sub.0], [t.sub.2]] one. The farther [t.sub.1] is from [t.sub.0], the higher the chances that the [[t.sub.1], [t.sub.2]] option will be priced at time zero using an inappropriate skew, because there is uncertainty about the level K/S K/S Kirk/Spock at time [t.sub.1] and about the variation in the slope of the skew curve (Geom.) a curve of double curvature, or a twisted curve. See See also: Skew between [t.sub.0] and [t.sub.1]. These problems are compounded when it comes to the valuation of the [[t.sub.1], [t.sub.2]] option in the semi-static hedge. Next, when S([t.sub.1])>K and S([t.sub.2])>K, both vanilla options bought at times [t.sub.1] and [t.sub.2] are struck at a level above K but they are at-the-money at the time of purchase. Thus, the associated skew should be considered as an at-the-money forward skew, while traders blindly pricing these options off the spot volatility surface would use a volatility estimate that would be too low. Finally, when S([t.sub.1])<K and S([t.sub.2])>K, and when S([t.sub.1])>K and S([t.sub.2])<K, the variation in implied volatility caused by the skew varies according to according to prep. 1. As stated or indicated by; on the authority of: according to historians. 2. In keeping with: according to instructions. 3. the relative levels of S([t.sub.1]) and S([t.sub.2]) as well as on the relative distance of [t.sub.1] and [t.sub.2] to the option expiry; as the skew is steeper for short term maturities and the skew curve tends to flatten or even have an element of a smile shape for very high strikes, the net effect on implied volatility is likely to be strongly upward when S([t.sub.1])<K and S([t.sub.2])>K. Thus, the skew exposure is quite difficult to manage; for more material on this important practical issue, the reader is referred to Gatheral (2006), who shows that pricing this kind of structure with a local volatility Local volatility is a term used in quantitative finance to denote the set of diffusion coefficients, , that are consistent with the set of market prices for all option prices on a given underlier. model tends to underestimate the real
value, relative to a stochastic volatility Stochastic volatility models are used in the field of quantitative finance to evaluate derivative securities, such as options. The name derives from the models' treatment of the underlying security's volatility as a random process, governed by state variables such as the price level of model, as it produces forward
skews that are too flat.
There are also issues associated with the risk management of sensitivities other than delta and gamma, such as the vega of a cliquet option. The latter is typically higher than the vega of a vanilla option. Indeed, the larger the volatility of the underlying, the greater the probability to reach a new extremum on each fixing date. Moreover, as each new extremum is locked in, the option value is not exposed to the higher chance of adverse price movements. Another difference with the vega of a vanilla option is that the vega of a cliquet option is at its peak when the underlying is trading near the latest extremum that was locked in at one of the previous fixing dates, not when it is trading near the strike price. However, one must bear in mind that the vega of a cliquet option may be a misleading measure of volatility risk because this is a contract whose gamma changes sign and, as a result, vega may be small at precisely those places where sensitivity to actual volatility is very large. This issue is discussed by Wilmott (2002), who analyzes the implications of the fact that the point at which gamma changes sign depends on the relative move in S from one fixing to the next. III. VALUATION FORMULAE AND NUMERICAL IMPLEMENTATION As pointed out in the previous section, cliquet options may be hedged by a semi-static rollover strategy, but the latter is difficult to value at the time the option is sold. Therefore, it would be quite convenient to be able to refer to an easily computed no-arbitrage price formula, at least as an analytical benchmark to test more general numerical schemes. Unfortunately, cliquet options are not easy to price by analytical methods because of the rapidly increasing dimension of the valuation problem. To put it simply, the more fixing dates, the higher the dimension, as measured by the required order of numerical integration In numerical analysis, numerical integration constitutes a broad family of algorithms for calculating the numerical value of a definite integral, and by extension, the term is also sometimes used to describe the numerical solution of differential equations. . The main problem associated with increasing dimension is that analytical results rely on functions that are defined as multiple integrals that may not be easily computed or that may not even be known. As a consequence of this dimension issue, the only closed form solution that has been published so far is a formula for a cliquet option with a single fixing date prior to expiry (Gray and Whaley, 1999) in a standard Black-Scholes framework. Other contributions focus on numerical methods, via either Monte Carlo simulation Monte Carlo Simulation A problem solving technique used to approximate the probability of certain outcomes by running multiple trial runs, called simulations, using random variables. or a partial differential equation differential equation Mathematical statement that contains one or more derivatives. It states a relationship involving the rates of change of continuously changing quantities modeled by functions. solver (Windcliff et al., 2006). It must be pointed out that the classical continuity correction In probability theory, if a random variable X has a binomial distribution with parameters n and p, i.e., X is distributed as the number of "successes" in n independent Bernoulli trials with probability p of Broadie et al. (1999) used to provide an analytical approximation approximation /ap·prox·i·ma·tion/ (ah-prok?si-ma´shun) 1. the act or process of bringing into proximity or apposition. 2. a numerical value of limited accuracy. of the price of discretely monitored lookback options is unfortunately quite inaccurate when there are only few fixing dates, especially when the latter are not uniformly spaced over the option life, and it is therefore not suited to cliquet options. The following Proposition 1 provides a closed form solution for the no-arbitrage value, V, of a cliquet option with expiry [t.sub.3], three fixing dates, [t.sub.1], [t.sub.2], and [t.sub.3], assuming that the underlying asset S is driven by a geometric Brownian motion A geometric Brownian motion (GBM) (occasionally, exponential Brownian motion) is a continuous-time stochastic process in which the logarithm of the randomly varying quantity follows a Brownian motion, or a Wiener process. with constant volatility [sigma], payout rate d and risk-free interest rate Risk-Free Interest Rate Describes return available to an investor in a security somehow guaranteed to produce that return. The risk-free interest rate compensataes the investor for the temporary sacrifice of consumption. r. The following expressions will be used, with (i,j,m,n) [member of] [N.sup.4],i < j,m < n, where [lambda] = 1 if the option is a call, [lambda] = - 1if the option is a put. [MATHEMATICAL EXPRESSION NOT REPRODUCIBLE IN ASCII] Also, the function [[phi].sub.n]([a.sub.1], [a.sub.2], ..., [a.sub.n];[[theta Theta A measure of the rate of decline in the value of an option due to the passage of time. Theta can also be referred to as the time decay on the value of an option. If everything is held constant, then the option will lose value as time moves closer to the maturity of the option. ].sub.1], [[theta].sub.2,] ..., [[theta].sub.n-1]), [a.sub.i] [member of] R, [[theta].sub.i] [member of]]-1,1[,i [member of] N, is defined as follows: for n=1, [[phi].sub.n] is the univariate standard gaussian cumulative distribution function ; for n=2, [[phi].sub.n] is the bivariate bi·var·i·ate adj. Mathematics Having two variables: bivariate binomial distribution. Adj. 1. standard gaussian cumulative distribution function ; for n>2, [[phi].sub.n] is given by : [MATHEMATICAL EXPRESSION NOT REPRODUCIBLE IN ASCII] (3.1) Proposition 1 can now be stated. A. Proposition 1 [MATHEMATICAL EXPRESSION NOT REPRODUCIBLE IN ASCII] (3.2) A proof of Proposition 1 is provided in the Appendix. Next, Proposition 2 gives a closed form solution for the no-arbitrage value, V, of a cliquet option with expiry [t.sub.4], and four fixing dates, [t.sub.1], [t.sub.2], [t.sub.3] and [t.sub.4], under the same assumptions as in Proposition 1. B. Proposition 2 [MATHEMATICAL EXPRESSION NOT REPRODUCIBLE IN ASCII] (3.3) Proof of Proposition 2 is similar to that of Proposition 1 and is therefore omitted. Finally, for a number of fixing dates greater than 4, the previous results can be generalized to produce the more compact Proposition 3. C. Proposition 3 [MATHEMATICAL EXPRESSION NOT REPRODUCIBLE IN ASCII] (3.4) where [MATHEMATICAL EXPRESSION NOT REPRODUCIBLE IN ASCII] Although Proposition 3 nests Proposition 1 and Proposition 2, its terse Terse - Language for decryption of hardware logic. ["Hardware Logic Simulation by Compilation", C. Hansen, 25th ACM/IEEE Design Automation Conf, 1988]. formulation may render it relatively unclear and ambiguous without the help of the fully expanded Proposition 1 and Proposition 2, and thus it was useful to state the latter. Moreover, Proposition 2 and Proposition 3 include dimension reductions that do not appear in the more compact Proposition 3, and they are therefore more efficient to use when pricing cliquet options with three or four fixing dates. From a numerical point of view, the valuation formulae presented in this section raise the question of the computation of the function [PHI]. As the number of fixing dates increases, so does the dimension of numerical integration. Fortunately, unlike lookback options, most cliquet options traded in the markets have few fixing dates, as mentioned earlier. Moreover, the dimension of numerical integration can be reduced by using the following identities: * When there are three fixing dates, the actual numerical dimension of the function [[PHI].sub.3] can be brought down from 3 to 1 by using : [MATHEMATICAL EXPRESSION NOT REPRODUCIBLE IN ASCII] (3.5) * When there are four fixing dates, the actual numerical dimension of the function [[PHI].sub.4] can be reduced from 4 to 2 by using : [MATHEMATICAL EXPRESSION NOT REPRODUCIBLE IN ASCII] (3.6) * When there are five fixing dates, the actual numerical dimension of the function [[PHI].sub.5] can be brought down from 5 to 3 by using : [MATHEMATICAL EXPRESSION NOT REPRODUCIBLE IN ASCII] (3.7) * More generally, when there are over five fixing dates, the actual numerical dimension of the function [[PHI].sub.n] can always be reduced by a factor of 2 by using : [MATHEMATICAL EXPRESSION NOT REPRODUCIBLE IN ASCII] (3.8) The identities (3.5) - (3.8) can be obtained using tedious algebra algebra, branch of mathematics concerned with operations on sets of numbers or other elements that are often represented by symbols. Algebra is a generalization of arithmetic and gains much of its power from dealing symbolically with elements and operations (such as and their proof is therefore omitted. The quality of numerical integration using (3.5) - (3.8) was tested up to six fixing dates. That would be the required dimension for the valuation of a three-year expiry cliquet option with semi-annual observation points or a six-month expiry cliquet option with monthly observation frequency, for instance. The identities (3.5) - (3.8) were implemented using a simple 16-point Gauss-Legendre quadrature quadrature, in astronomy, arrangement of two celestial bodies at right angles to each other as viewed from a reference point. If the reference point is the earth and the sun is one of the bodies, a planet is in quadrature when its elongation is 90°. rule. In every dimension, 500 option prices were computed by means of Proposition 1, Proposition 2 and Proposition 3, with randomly drawn parameters. The results were compared with those obtained by a Monte Carlo simulation using antithetic an·ti·thet·i·cal also an·ti·thet·ic adj. 1. Of, relating to, or marked by antithesis. 2. Being in diametrical opposition. See Synonyms at opposite. variates and the Mersenne Twister The Mersenne twister is a pseudorandom number generator linked to CR developed in 1997 by Makoto Matsumoto (松本 眞 random number generator A program routine that produces a random number. Random numbers are created easily in a computer, since there are many random events that take place such as the duration between keystrokes. . The main findings are summarized in Tables 1, 2, 3 and 4. In terms of efficiency, it always takes less than one second to compute the option prices on an ordinary personal computer, which is very quick in absolute terms (Alg.) such as are known, or which do not contain the unknown quantity. See also: Absolute and dramatically more efficient than simulation techniques. It must be pointed out that the efficiency gains are even greater when it comes to the computation of the option sensitivities or greeks. Moreover, there is a clear pattern of linear convergence of the Monte Carlo Monte Carlo (môNtā` kärlō`), town (1982 pop. 13,150), principality of Monaco, on the Mediterranean Sea and the French Riviera. estimates to the analytical values as more and more simulations are performed in all the tested dimensions. This high quality of numerical integration is not surprising, given the smoothness of the integrands in every dimension. Cases of numerical instability might arise only for extremely high values of the correlation coefficients inside the integrands. After a little numerical experiment, it was found that problems were encountered for values above 99.5%. But such values would come up only for very weird contract specifications, such a single fixing date one day before expiry on a two-year option, and these would actually never be met in the markets. Besides, alternative, more sophisticated quadrature rules that handle almost singular points Singular points occur in various different situations in geometry
Thus, in low dimensions, the analytical formulae provided in this paper give very efficient and accurate numerical res ults, while the computational time required for a Monte Carlo simulation to produce reasonably accurate approximations is clearly not satisfactory for practical purposes. As more and more fixing dates are added, the quality of a plain Gauss-Legendre implementation of (3.8) will deteriorate. One solution is then to implement an adaptive Gauss-Legendre quadrature based, for instance, on a Kronrod rule. There is plenty of scientific software available for that matter so that it is not necessary to know the technical details. Another, more powerful, solution is to notice that the function [PHI] that needs to be computed in increasing dimension has the attractive feature that it matches the special structure of Gaussian convolutions handled by the extremely efficient Broadie-Yamamoto algorithm (Broadie and Yamamoto, 2005). Using the latter will ensure that the above stated Proposition 3 can be implemented with confidence in high dimensions. For evidence about the power of the mentioned algorithm, the reader is referred to the above cited original paper. IV. APPENDIX : PROOF OF PROPOSITION 1 The dynamics of the underlying asset S under the risk-neutral measure Q are driven by the classical geometric Brownian motion: dS(t) = (r - d)S(t)dt + [sigma]S(t)dB(t) (4.1) Where r is the constant riskless rate, [sigma] is the constant volatility of S, d is a constant payout rate on S and B(t) is a standard Brownian motion Brownian motion Any of various physical phenomena in which some quantity is constantly undergoing small, random fluctuations. It was named for Robert Brown, who was investigating the fertilization process of flowers in 1827 when he noticed a “rapid oscillatory . Following the risk-neutral valuation method (Harrison and Kreps, 1979; Harrison and Pliska, 1981), the no-arbitrage value, at time [t.sub.0], of a cliquet call option with three fixing dates [t.sub.1], [t.sub.2], [t.sub.3] and expiry [t.sub.3], is given by: C(S([t.sub.0]), K, r, [sigma], [delta], [t.sub.1], [t.sub.2], [t.sub.3]) = exp exp abbr. 1. exponent 2. exponential (-r x [t.sub.3]) x [E.sub.Q][[(S([t.sub.1]) [disjunction disjunction /dis·junc·tion/ (-junk´shun) 1. the act or state of being disjoined. 2. in genetics, the moving apart of bivalent chromosomes at the first anaphase of meiosis. ] S([t.sub.2]) [disjunction] S([t.sub.3]) - K).sup.+] |S([t.sub.0])] (4.2) where [E.sub.Q] is the expectation operator under the risk-neutral probability measure Q. Breaking down the various possible outcomes, the right-hand side of (4.2) can be expanded as follows : exp(-r x [t.sub.3])x [E.sub.Q][(S([t.sub.1]) - K)x [I.sub.1] + (S([t.sub.2]) - K)x [I.sub.2] +(S([t.sub.3]) - K)x [I.sub.3]|S([t.sub.0])] (4.3) with [I.sub.1] = I{S([t.sub.1]) > K,S([t.sub.1]) > S([t.sub.2]),S([t.sub.1]) > S([t.sub.3])} (4.4) [I.sub.2] = I{S([t.sub.2]) > K,S([t.sub.2]) > S([t.sub.1]),S([t.sub.2]) > S([t.sub.3])} (4.5) [I.sub.3] = I{S([t.sub.3]) > K,S([t.sub.3]) > S([t.sub.1]),S([t.sub.3]) > S([t.sub.2])} (4.6) where I is the indicator function In mathematics, an indicator function or a characteristic function is a function defined on a set that indicates membership of an element in a subset .
Using Girsanov's theorem theorem, in mathematics and logic, statement in words or symbols that can be established by means of deductive logic; it differs from an axiom in that a proof is required for its acceptance. , (4.3) becomes: [MATHEMATICAL EXPRESSION NOT REPRODUCIBLE IN ASCII] (4.7) where [Q.sup.(1)], [Q.sup.(2)] and [Q.sup.(3)] are three measures equivalent to Q whose Radon-Nikodym derivatives are given by : [MATHEMATICAL EXPRESSION NOT REPRODUCIBLE IN ASCII] (4.8) where [F.sub.t] is the natural filtration In the theory of stochastic processes in mathematics and statistics, the natural filtration associated to a stochastic process is a filtration associated to the process which records its "past behaviour" at each time. of B(t). Thus, it suffices to compute the expectations of [I.sub.1], [I.sub.2] and [I.sub.3] under Q. A classical change of drift from [mu] = (r - d -[[sigma].sup.2]/2)[t.sub.i] to [mu] = (r - d + [[sigma].sup.2]/2)[t.sub.i] will provide the same expectations under [Q.sup.(i)]. Since the logarithm logarithm (lŏg`ərĭthəm) [Gr.,=relation number], number associated with a positive number, being the power to which a third number, called the base, must be raised in order to obtain the given positive number. is a monotonically increasing function See Increase , the functions [I.sub.1], [I.sub.2] and [I.sub.3] are equal to: [I.sub.1] = I{X([t.sub.1]) > k,X([t.sub.1]) > X([t.sub.2]),X([t.sub.1]) > X([t.sub.3])} (4.9) [I.sub.2] = I{X([t.sub.2]) > k,X([t.sub.2]) > X([t.sub.1]),X([t.sub.2]) > X([t.sub.3])} (4.10) [I.sub.3] = I{X([t.sub.3]) > k,X([t.sub.3]) > X([t.sub.1]),X([t.sub.3]) > X([t.sub.2])} (4.11) where X (t) = ln (S(t)/S([t.sub.0])) and k = ln (K/S([t.sub.0])) Next, by definition of Brownian motion, the random variables X([t.sub.1]), X([t.sub.2])- X([t.sub.1]), X([t.sub.3])- X ([t.sub.1]) and X ([t.sub.3])- X([t.sub.2]) can be written as follows: X([t.sub.1]) = [micro][t.sub.1] + [sigma][phi][square root of [t.sub.1]] (4.12) X([t.sub.2]) - X([t.sub.1]) = [mu]([t.sub.2] - [t.sub.1]) + [sigma][[phi].sub.2][square root of [t.sub.3] - [t.sub.1]]) (4.13) X([t.sub.3]) - X([t.sub.1]) = [mu]([t.sub.3] - [t.sub.1]) + [sigma]([[phi].sub.2][square root of [t.sub.2] - [t.sub.1]] + [[phi].sub.3] [square root of [t.sub.3] - [t.sub.2]]) (4.14) X([t.sub.3]) - X([t.sub.2]) = [mu]([t.sub.3] - [t.sub.2]) + [sigma][[phi].sub.3][square root of [t.sub.3] - [t.sub.2]]) (4.15) where [[phi].sub.1], [[phi].sub.2] and [[phi].sub.3] are three mutually independent standard normal random variables with unit variance. To calculate [E.sub.Q][[I.sub.1]|S([t.sub.0])] , one can notice, by the independence of Brownian increments, that the variable X([t.sub.1]) is independent from the variables X([t.sub.2]) X([t.sub.1]) and X([t.sub.3])- X([t.sub.1]). Then, using (4.12) - (4.14), a little calculation produces: [MATHEMATICAL EXPRESSION NOT REPRODUCIBLE IN ASCII] (4.16) To compute [E.sub.Q][[I.sub.2]|S([t.sub.0])], one can start by expanding Q(X([t.sub.2]) > k,X([t.sub.2]) > X([t.sub.1])) as follows: Q(X([t.sub.2]) > k, X([t.sub.2]) > X([t.sub.1])) = Q(X([t.sub.2]) > k, X([t.sub.1]) < k)+ Q(X([t.sub.2])- X([t.sub.1]) > 0)Q(X([t.sub.1]) > k) 4.17) Then, using the independence of the variables X([t.sub.3])- X([t.sub.2]) and X([t.sub.2])- X([t.sub.1]), one can obtain: [MATHEMATICAL EXPRESSION NOT REPRODUCIBLE IN ASCII] (4.18) Next, the expectation [E.sub.Q][[I.sub.3]|S([t.sub.0])] can be expanded into integral form as follows: [MATHEMATICAL EXPRESSION NOT REPRODUCIBLE IN ASCII] (4.19) By the Markov property In probability theory, a stochastic process has the Markov property if the conditional probability distribution of future states of the process, given the present state and all past states, depends only upon the present state and not on any past states, i.e. of Brownian motion, we have: [MATHEMATICAL EXPRESSION NOT REPRODUCIBLE IN ASCII] (4.20) Then, performing the necessary calculations, one can obtain the following result: [MATHEMATICAL EXPRESSION NOT REPRODUCIBLE IN ASCII] (4.21) This completes the proof for a cliquet c all option with three fixing dates [t.sub.1], [t.sub.2], [t.sub.3] and expiry [t.sub.3]. The same method can be applied to value cliquet options with a greater number of fixing dates, by using the following generalization gen·er·al·i·za·tion n. 1. The act or an instance of generalizing. 2. A principle, a statement, or an idea having general application. of (4.21) for n ? 4 : [MATHEMATICAL EXPRESSION NOT REPRODUCIBLE IN ASCII] (4.22) REFERENCES Broadie, M., and P. Glasserman, and S. Kou, 1999, "Connecting Discrete and Continuous Path-Dependent Options," Finance and Stochastics, 3, 55-82. Broadie, M., and Y. Yamamoto, 2005, "A Double-exponential Fast Gauss Transform Algorithm for Pricing Discrete Path-dependent Options," Operations Research operations research Application of scientific methods to management and administration of military, government, commercial, and industrial systems. It began during World War II in Britain when teams of scientists worked with the Royal Air Force to improve radar detection of , vol. 53(5), 764-779. Buetow, G.W., Jr., 1999, "Ratchet Options," Journal of Financial Strategic Decisions, 12 (2), 17-30. Conze, A., and E. Viswanathan, 1991 , "Path Dependent Options: the Case of Lookback Options," Journal of Finance, XLVI, 5, 1893-1907. De Weert, F., 2008, Exotic Options Trading, Wiley Finance. Gatheral, J., 2006, The Volatility Surface, Wiley Finance. Gray, S.F., and R.E. Whaley, 1999, "Reset Put Options: Valuation, Risk Characteristics and Application," Australian Journal of Management, 24 (1), 1-20. Harrison, J.M., and D. Kreps, 1979, "Martingales and Arbitrage arbitrage: see foreign exchange. arbitrage Business operation involving the purchase of foreign currency, gold, financial securities, or commodities in one market and their almost simultaneous sale in another market, in order to profit from price in Multiperiod Securities Markets," Journal of Economic Theory, 20, 381- 408. Harrison, J.M., and S. Pliska, 1981, "Martingales and stochastic By guesswork; by chance; using or containing random values. stochastic - probabilistic integrals in the theory of continuous trading Continuous Trading A method of transacting different securities orders. Continuous trading involves the immediate execution of orders upon their reception by market makers and specialists. ," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, 11, 312-316. Matosek, Z., Hedging cliquet options, 2008, Working Paper, Free University of Amsterdam. Petrelli, A., J. Zhang, O. Siu, R. Chatterjee, and V. Kapoor, 2008, "Optimal Dynamic Hedging of Cliquets," Working Paper. Wilmott, P., 2002, "Cliquet Options and Volatility Models," Wilmott Magazine. Windcliff, H., P.A. Forsyth, and K.R. Vetzal, 2001, "Shout Options: a Framework for Pricing Contracts Which can be Modified by the Investor," Journal of Computational Applied Mathematics, 134, 213-241. Windcliff, H., P.A. Forsyth, and K.R. Vetzal, 2006, "Numerical Methods and Volatility Models for Valuing Cliquet Options," Applied Mathematical Finance, 13. Tristan Guillaume Universite de Cergy-Pontoise, Laboratoire Thema, 33 boulevard du port, 95011 Cergy-Pontoise Cedex, France Tristan. Guillaume@u-cergy.fr
Table 1
Cliquet option values with three non-uniformly spaced fixing dates (a)
Average Average Maximum
computational difference difference
time with analytical with analytical
formula formula
Analytical 0.15 0 0
formula
Monte Carlo 0.82 0.63 0.96
100,000
simulations
Monte Carlo 5.58 0.19 0.56
1,000,000
simulations
Monte Carlo 52.6 0.025 0.161
10,000,000
simulations
(a) The analytical formula used is Proposition 1. The function
[[PHI].sub.3] in Proposition 1 is computed using identity (3.5) along
with a 16-point Gauss-Legendre quadrature. The reported averages were
computed out of a sample of 500 theoretical option values with
randomly drawn parameters. The average computational time is measured
in seconds. The average difference between the Monte Carlo
approximations and the analytical prices is reported as a percentage
of the option prices. So is the maximum difference too.
Table 2
Cliquet option with four non-uniformly spaced fixing dates (b)
Average Average Maximum
computational difference with difference
time analytical with analytical
formula formula
Analytical 0.26 0 0
formula
Monte Carlo 1.07 0.45 1.05
100,000
simulations
Monte Carlo 7.88 0.17 0.46
1,000,000
simulations
Monte Carlo 74.81 0.029 0.213
10,000,000
simulations
(b) The analytical formula used is Proposition 2. The function
[[PHI].sub.4] in Proposition 2 is computed using identity (3.6)
along with a 16-point Gauss-Legendre quadrature.
Table 3
Cliquet option with five non-uniformly spaced fixing dates (c)
Average Average difference Maximum difference
computational with analytical with analytical
time formula formula
Analytical 0.38 0 0
formula
Monte Carlo 1.24 0.51 0.82
100,000
simulations
Monte Carlo 9.85 0.22 0.63
1,000,000
simulations
Monte Carlo 95.32 0.042 0.176
10,000,000
simulations
(c) The analytical formula used is Proposition 3. The function
[[PHI].sub.5] in Proposition 3 is computed using identity (3.7)
along with a 16-point Gauss-Legendre quadrature.
Table 4
Cliquet option with six non-uniformly spaced fixing dates (d)
Average Average difference Maximum difference
computational with analytical with analytical
time formula formula
Analytical 0.89 0 0
formula
Monte Carlo 1.45 0.54 0.91
100,000
simulations
Monte Carlo 12.16 0.26 0.49
1,000,000
simulations
Monte Carlo 123.66 0.038 0.184
10,000,000
simulations
(d) The analytical formula used is Proposition 3. The function
[[PHI].sub.6] in Proposition 3 is computed using identity (3.8)
along with a 16-point Gauss-Legendre quadrature.
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, that are consistent with the set of market prices for all option prices on a given underlier.
that indicates membership of an element in a subset
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