Printer Friendly
The Free Library
14,581,301 articles and books
Member login
User name  
Password 
 
Join us Forgot password?

A dent that counts: how do Republicans win black and Hispanic votes? Well, first you have to ask ...


WHILE Ken Mehlman Kenneth Brian Mehlman (born August 21, 1966, Baltimore, Maryland) is an American attorney who was chairman of the Republican National Committee from 2005 to 2007. He served as the campaign manager for George W. Bush's 2004 re-election campaign.  and Karl Rove The external links in this article or section may require cleanup to comply with Wikipedia's content policies.  raided suburbs and exurbs for unregistered Republicans, a small group of non-party irregulars laid siege to the Democratic citadel: the minority precincts Al Gore Noun 1. Al Gore - Vice President of the United States under Bill Clinton (born in 1948)
Albert Gore Jr., Gore
 carried by huge majorities in 2000.

This year, conservative 527s spent roughly $3 million to run 30,000 broadcast spots courting voters via Spanish-language and black media. On November 3, I reported the results of these efforts to Dan Perrin, executive director of the Republican Leadership Coalition. "Kerry outpolled Bush 84-16 among blacks in Ohio, and 86-13 in Florida," I told him. "And he outpolled Bush 56-44 among Hispanics in New Mexico New Mexico, state in the SW United States. At its northwestern corner are the so-called Four Corners, where Colorado, New Mexico, Arizona, and Utah meet at right angles; New Mexico is also bordered by Oklahoma (NE), Texas (E, S), and Mexico (S). ."

"That's fantastic!" Dan exclaimed. "Let's get out a press release right away!" So it went in the wacky world of Republican minority politics. Bad news was our stock in trade. In 2000, Democrats had taken 90 percent of the African-American vote to the Republicans' 9, and the Hispanic vote went for the Democrats 64-35. Many consultants considered an electoral assault against these bastions of liberal loyalty a waste of time and resources.

In 2004, the good news for Republicans was not that the GOP had won minority support (clearly, it hadn't)--but that it was winning marginal increases. Nationwide, exit polls showed Bush's vote share increasing 2 percent among blacks and 9 percent among Hispanics. In crucial swing states, where conservative 527s waged vigorous campaigns on behalf of the GOP, the president fared better still.

In Ohio, Bush attracted 16 percent of the black vote, up from 9 percent in 2000. That increase represented, according to according to
prep.
1. As stated or indicated by; on the authority of: according to historians.

2. In keeping with: according to instructions.

3.
 Congress Daily's Keith Koffler, "... a potentially devastating dev·as·tate  
tr.v. dev·as·tat·ed, dev·as·tat·ing, dev·as·tates
1. To lay waste; destroy.

2. To overwhelm; confound; stun: was devastated by the rude remark.
 amount for Kerry. Extrapolating from the exit poll, this would amount to about 50,000 new votes for Bush. If these had gone to Kerry, Bush's 136,000 vote Ohio victory margin would have looked more like 36,000, and we would all be watching Court TV to see who won the election."

In 2000, Bush's meager mea·ger also mea·gre  
adj.
1. Deficient in quantity, fullness, or extent; scanty.

2. Deficient in richness, fertility, or vigor; feeble: the meager soil of an eroded plain.

3.
 7 percent vote share among black Floridians nearly cost him the presidency. He bettered that in 2004, polling 13 percent against John Kerry Editing of this page by unregistered or newly registered users is currently disabled due to vandalism. . The president's performance among Latino Floridians also improved, from 49 percent to 56 percent. The GOP's improved showing among these two groups accounted for roughly 240,000 of the 381,000 votes by which the president carried Florida--63 percent of his total margin.

In New Mexico, one of two blue states that switched to red this year, Hispanics constitute 42 percent of the population, and 25 percent of the electorate. Bush's vote share among New Mexico Hispanics improved from 32 percent in 2000 to 44 percent in 2004. This generated a net Republican gain of 23,000 votes--far more than the 8,000 by which the president carried the state. In Colorado and Nevada, the president's Hispanic vote share increased by 5 and 6 points respectively, thwarting Kerry's best chances for a red-state takeover in the West.

I had a hand in designing the minority broadcast programs that helped generate these shifts--first as political director of the Republican Leadership Coalition, and later as president of America's PAC. My first principle was: Ignore Republican consultants! In 2000, the GOP had woefully woe·ful also wo·ful  
adj.
1. Affected by or full of woe; mournful.

2. Causing or involving woe.

3. Deplorably bad or wretched:
 mismanaged its appeals to black and Hispanic voters. George W. Bush was the most minority-friendly candidate Republicans had nominated since Abraham Lincoln. He had showcased his concern for minority problems throughout his governorship, both by the appointments he had made and the policies he'd pursued. And he had won unusually high vote shares among black and Hispanic Texans.

But in 2000, none of that history was communicated through the media that mattered. Democratic ads on minority stations accused Bush and the Republicans of intimidating minority voters, of promoting hate crimes, and of incarcerating minority youth en masse en masse  
adv.
In one group or body; all together: The protesters marched en masse to the capitol.



[French : en, in + masse, mass.
. GOP consultants seemed frozen in place. Unwilling to expend the emotional or financial capital to counterattack Attacking an attacker. Even though a criminal hacker or other agent is attempting to penetrate a security perimeter or damage systems, the counterattack must not violate applicable laws.  in the relevant venues, Republicans neither refuted racially charged allegations nor promoted a positive conservative agenda.

By absenting ourselves from minority media, we Republicans gave the Democrats carte blanche CARTE BLANCHE. The signature of an individual or more, on a while. paper, with a sufficient space left above it to write a note or other writing.
     2. In the course of business, it not unfrequently occurs that for the sake of convenience, signatures in blank are
 to paint us as they chose. And they chose to paint us as bigots. In 2002, pollster poll·ster  
n.
One that takes public-opinion surveys. Also called polltaker.

Word History: The suffix -ster is nowadays most familiar in words like pollster, jokester, huckster,
 Kellyanne Conway measured the consequences. Black voters did not associate the GOP with any of its traditional issues: "Republican" meant bigotry, plain and simple.

Adding irony to angst, GOP platform issues polled well with minorities. Millions of blacks supported traditional marriage and school choice. Millions of Hispanics were pro-life and anti-tax. In fact, there was hardly an issue in the Republican arsenal that did not receive higher approval from minorities than the party itself did. But this gap between minority patterns of thinking and voting mattered not a whit unless conservatives mustered the will to politicize po·lit·i·cize  
v. po·lit·i·cized, po·lit·i·ciz·ing, po·lit·i·ciz·es

v.intr.
To engage in or discuss politics.

v.tr.
 it. I resolved to present the whole Republican platform to minority audiences in minority venues. Our 527s would attack the Democrats as aggressively as theirs attacked us. If I paid scant attention to what Republicans said, I paid respectful heed to what Democrats did. Their entire coalition courted minorities, appealing to them across a full range of issues by dramatizing a broad left-wing worldview world·view  
n. In both senses also called Weltanschauung.
1. The overall perspective from which one sees and interprets the world.

2. A collection of beliefs about life and the universe held by an individual or a group.
.

This year, 527s running GOP issue ads presented a comparable conservative worldview, in the same minority-media venues. We campaigned on social issues. The Republican 527s ran ads criticizing the Democrats for promoting gay rights instead of traditional marriage. They savaged Democrats for promoting abortion, which kills 400,000 black babies each year, and which two-thirds of Hispanics oppose.

"You mustn't run these ads," we were told. "Minorities are not moral sexually."

We trumpeted tax issues. Our ads praised the president's family-friendly tax cuts, and assaulted the Democrats for opposing them.

"Minorities want government programs, not tax cuts," our consultant friends told us.

We highlighted investor issues. Herman Cain of America's PAC explained how the current Social Security system discriminates against African Americans demographically, and how private accounts could help minorities accumulate capital for retirement.

"Minorities don't have financial assets Financial assets

Claims on real assets.
," we were told.

We addressed national security. Why, our commercials asked, were Democrats attacking the millions of African-American and Hispanic servicemen who protected our nation from cold-blooded savages committed to killing us?

"Blacks and Hispanics hate the war," intoned in·tone  
v. in·toned, in·ton·ing, in·tones

v.tr.
1. To recite in a singing tone.

2. To utter in a monotone.

v.intr.
1.
 the consultants.

We aggressively championed school choice, excoriating black Democratic leaders for practicing it themselves while denying their peers the same option.

"Vouchers are no longer popular among minorities," the pollsters advised.

Early polling presaged our Election Day success. The Joint Center for Political and Economic Studies The Joint Center for Political and Economic Studies ("Joint Center"), headquartered in Washington, DC, is a national, nonprofit research and public policy institution or think tank.  surveyed 850 African Americans between September 15 and October 10, 2004. Its report, "Politics and the 2004 Election," summarized a conservative shift in black politics. From October 2000 to October 2004, the percentage of African Americans who self-identified as Republicans increased from 4 percent to 10 percent. The percentage of blacks with household incomes of $60,000 or greater who supported Bush increased from 7.7 percent to 22.4 percent. The percentage of self-described black Christian conservatives planning to vote for Bush rose from 11 percent to 36 percent.

To laborers in this vineyard, these changes were dramatic--but understandable. Among non-black, non-Hispanic demographic subgroups, higher levels of religious observance correlated with higher levels of Republican allegiance. And why not? It was Republicans, not Democrats, who promoted the role of religion in the public square. Among non-black, non-Hispanic demographic subgroups, rising income correlated with higher levels of Republican allegiance. And why not? It was the Republicans, not the Democrats, who resisted tax progressivity pro·gres·siv·i·ty  
n. pl. pro·gres·siv·i·ties
The quality or degree of being progressive: "Proponents of progressivity often argue that higher-income people should pay higher taxes because they benefit more
, and who sheltered income for savings and investment.

The theory of minority exceptionalism ex·cep·tion·al·ism  
n.
1. The condition of being exceptional or unique.

2. The theory or belief that something, especially a nation, does not conform to a pattern or norm.
 posited that the historical experience of minorities was dramatically removed from the mainstream--so much so that even as they assimilated into normative trends of income, residency, occupation, and religiosity re·li·gi·os·i·ty  
n.
1. The quality of being religious.

2. Excessive or affected piety.

Noun 1. religiosity - exaggerated or affected piety and religious zeal
religiousism, pietism, religionism
, their political behavior would remain apart, responding to culture rather than class. And as late as 2000, that theory seemed credible, at least to GOP consultants.

But in 2004, "minority exceptionalism" crumpled crum·ple  
v. crum·pled, crum·pling, crum·ples

v.tr.
1. To crush together or press into wrinkles; rumple.

2. To cause to collapse.

v.intr.
1.
 under the concerted assault of conservative 527s. The election proved that if Republicans communicated mainstream conservative views in black and Hispanic media venues, they could win substantial victories against liberal dominance in these communities.

If the Republican party is courageous enough to follow through on the seminal work of these fellow-traveling 527s, it can reclaim its natural constituents across racial and ethnic divides. So constituted, the conservative coalition of 2004 can do more than win. It can govern--boldly.

Mr. Nadler is executive director of America's Majority, a not-for-profit dedicated to building the demographic base of the conservative movement.
COPYRIGHT 2004 National Review, Inc.
No portion of this article can be reproduced without the express written permission from the copyright holder.
Copyright 2004, Gale Group. All rights reserved. Gale Group is a Thomson Corporation Company.

 Reader Opinion

Title:

Comment:



 

Article Details
Printer friendly Cite/link Email Feedback
Title Annotation:Campaign 2004
Author:Nadler, Richard
Publication:National Review
Geographic Code:1USA
Date:Dec 13, 2004
Words:1404
Previous Article:Absolutely: both Iraqis and Palestinians have a chance to escape the curse of absolutism.(The Middle East)
Next Article:You deserve a factual look at ... "one land for two peoples": is it a solution to the Arab/Israeli conflict or a recipe for disaster?
Topics:



Related Articles
Studying the political nuts & bolts. (1994 midterm elections) (Column)
Campaign 2000: Florida Writhing.(Brief Article)
On the Right - Figures for the Long Count.(Brief Article)
On the Right - Unmarried Women Behind the Crisis.(Brief Article)
Lefty Nation?: What the trends portend.
The democratic myth machine: about John McCain and Max Cleland, those (alleged) political martyrs.(Politics)
Bush's well-mapped road to victory: how Rove et al. pulled it off.
Understanding Catholic voters.
Countdown to November: find out which U.S. House and Senate seats are most likely to switch parties in the November elections.
Will Americans vote outside the box? For more than 200 years, American Presidents have been, with one exception, white, male, and Protestant. In...

Terms of use | Copyright © 2009 Farlex, Inc. | Feedback | For webmasters | Submit articles