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6.0 TEMBLER RATTLES `EARTHQUAKE CAPITAL'.


Byline: Kerry Cavanaugh Staff Writer

Right size. Right location. Just 16 years too late.

But the years-long delay didn't trouble earthquake scientists, who had their equipment in place Tuesday, when a 6.0-magnitude hit near Parkfield, a Central California hamlet known as the nation's earthquake capital.

At ground zero for earthquake study, dozens of sensors - seismometers, strainmeters, creepmeters - allowed researchers to monitor the moments before, during and after the temblor - information that might help unlock the mystery of predicting quakes.

``It's the most densely instrumented piece of ground probably on the planet,'' said Mike Blanpied, associate coordinator with the USGS USGS United States Geological Survey (US Department of the Interior)  earthquake-hazards program in Reston, Va.

``We will look very carefully to see if there was any hint that the Earth was giving us a clue that an earthquake might happen.''

The temblor hit at 10:15 a.m., followed in quick succession by more than 160 aftershocks, one with a preliminary 5.0 magnitude and four others at 4.1 or above. The initial, 10-second quake was felt along a 350-mile stretch, as far north as Sacramento and as far south as Santa Ana.

Kate Hutton, a seismologist seis·mol·o·gy  
n.
The geophysical science of earthquakes and the mechanical properties of the earth.



seis
 at the California Institute of Technology California Institute of Technology, at Pasadena, Calif.; originally for men, became coeducational in 1970; founded 1891 as Throop Polytechnic Institute; called Throop College of Technology, 1913–20.  in Pasadena, said there was a one-in-20 chance that Tuesday's quake was a foreshock fore·shock  
n.
A minor tremor of the earth that precedes a larger earthquake originating at approximately the same location.

Noun 1.
 to a larger quake that could hit within five days.

Parkfield - population 37 - sits on the juncture of the earth's Pacific and North American plates, a grinding 800-mile-long rupture zone better known as the San Andreas Fault San Andreas fault, great fracture (see fault) of the earth's crust in California. It is the principal fault of an intricate network of faults extending more than 600 mi (965 km) from NW California to the Gulf of California. .

The town was shaken by six 6.0 earthquakes between 1857 and 1966 - one approximately every 22 years. Because of the regularity, researchers predicted the town would have a similarly large quake in 1988 - or anytime between 1983 and 1993.

Researchers and reporters flocked to Parkfield hoping to understand the pattern and speculating that it might lead to predicting earthquakes elsewhere. But the window opened and closed with barely a rumble.

``When it didn't fall in that 10-year window, there was some disappointment that the Earth had fooled us again,'' said Thomas Jordan, director of the Southern California Earthquake Center The Southern California Earthquake Center (SCEC), headquartered at the University of Southern California, was founded in 1991 with a mission to:

  • gather new information about earthquakes in Southern California;
 and University of Southern California The U.S. News & World Report ranked USC 27th among all universities in the United States in its 2008 ranking of "America's Best Colleges", also designating it as one of the "most selective universities" for admitting 8,634 of the almost 34,000 who applied for freshman admission  professor of earth sciences.

Some scientists speculated that Tuesday's quake was the one predicted to happen by 1993 - though a decade late.

``It was very much the anticipated earthquake, the anticipated magnitude and the anticipated section of the San Andreas Fault,'' Blanpied said. ``Of course, it was long overdue.''

Last December, a magnitude-6.5 earthquake jolted the Central California coast, killing two people in Paso Robles Robles is a common surname in the Spanish language meaning oaks, and may refer to:
  • Alfonso García Robles (1911-1991), Mexican diplomat and politician
  • Aurora Robles (born 1980), Mexican fashion model
  • Charlie Robles (born 1943), Puerto Rican musician
 - the state's first fatal quake since the 6.7-magnitude temblor that hit the San Fernando Valley San Fernando Valley

Valley, southern California, U.S. Northwest of central Los Angeles, the valley is bounded by the San Gabriel, Santa Susana, and Santa Monica mountains and the Simi Hills.
 portion of Los Angeles in 1994.

Scientists hope to have even more information available to them when future quakes hit in Parkfield. This summer, geologists began drilling 2 miles beneath the surface, with plans to create an ``earthquake observatory'' that would be able to monitor the rocks, the stresses and the fault behavior during a temblor.

``This is earthquake country.' said Stephanie Hanna, a spokeswoman for the U.S. Geological Survey. ``We expect big earthquakes in this area, but don't know Don't know (DK, DKed)

"Don't know the trade." A Street expression used whenever one party lacks knowledge of a trade or receives conflicting instructions from the other party.
 when they'll occur.''

The Associated Press contributed to this story.

Kerry Cavanaugh, (818) 713-3746

kerry.cavanaugh(at)dailynews.com

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Publication:Daily News (Los Angeles, CA)
Date:Sep 29, 2004
Words:542
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