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2007 Harris Polls Show Democrats Maintain Their Nine Point Lead Over Republicans.


Moderates Lead Conservatives by Two Percentage Points

ROCHESTER Rochester (rŏch`ĕstər, –ĭstər).

1 City (1990 pop. 70,745), seat of Olmsted co., SE Minn.; inc. 1858.
, N.Y. -- Every year, The Harris Harris, Scotland: see Lewis and Harris.  Poll([R]) combines the results of its nationwide telephone polls conducted throughout the year to measure party identification and political philosophy in an effort to accurately report on any modest changes from year to year. These Harris Polls conducted in 2007 show the Democrats maintaining their lead over Republicans in party identification. Currently, the Democrats lead over the Republicans is nine percentage points, the same as it was in 2006 and up from six percentage points in 2005 and three points in 2004 and 2002. Overall, the Bush presidency has seen a widening of the Democratic lead of about five points.

These are the results of Harris Polls conducted by telephone by Harris Interactive Harris Interactive (NASDAQ: HPOL) is an American market research company that specializes in public opinion research using both telephone and surveys on online panels. The company is the product of a 1996 merger between the Gordon S. Black Company and Louis Harris & Associates. ([R]) throughout 2006 among a total of 14,095 U.S. adults. Most Harris Polls are now conducted online, but to ensure consistency in comparison with the previous years, only the telephone surveys are included in these tables.

Other results of these surveys, which provide averages for the whole of 2007, are:

* In what may be an indication of the presidential race having started much earlier than normal and this having turned some Americans off from politics, all three partisan Partisan may refer to: Political matters
In politics, partisan literally means organized into political parties. The expression "Partisan politics" usually refers to fervent, sometimes militant support of a party, cause, faction, person, or idea.
 labels - Democrat, Republican and Independent saw a one percentage point drop. That means that from last year to this year, an additional three percent are now saying another party or that they are not sure;

* Independents comprise almost one-quarter of all adults (23%);

* While the numbers for Liberals have stayed the same at 19 percent, the number for conservatives dropped from 37 percent to 35 percent. This is now right at the average for the 2000s;

* Moderates have stayed the same at 37 percent and they now are back above conservatives by 2 percentage points.

Long-Term Long-term

Three or more years. In the context of accounting, more than 1 year.


long-term

1. Of or relating to a gain or loss in the value of a security that has been held over a specific length of time. Compare short-term.
 Trends

Looking at trends over 39 years between 1968 and 2007, several clear trends (or lack of change) emerge:

* The Democratic lead over Republicans has fallen over time from 21 percentage points in the 1970s, to 11 points in the 1980s and seven points in the 1990s. The lead has averaged six percentage points in the 2000s;

* In looking at political philosophy, liberals and moderates have held steady over time, while conservatives have ranged from a low of 32 percent in the 1970s to a high of 38 percent in the 1990s. For the 40 years, moderates have been ahead of conservatives for almost all of the time. The only three exceptions are 1968, when conservatives were ahead by six points, and 1995 and 2006 when they were tied.
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Methodology

The Harris Poll([R]) was conducted by telephone within the United States United States, officially United States of America, republic (2005 est. pop. 295,734,000), 3,539,227 sq mi (9,166,598 sq km), North America. The United States is the world's third largest country in population and the fourth largest country in area.  between January January: see month.  and December 2007, excluding September, among a nationwide cross section of 14,095 adults (aged 18 and over). Figures for age, sex, race/ethnicity, education, region, number of adults in the household, size of place (urbanicity) and number of phone lines in the household were weighted where necessary to bring them into line with their actual proportions in the population.

All sample surveys and polls, whether or not they use probability sampling, are subject to multiple sources of error which are most often not possible to quantify Quantify - A performance analysis tool from Pure Software.  or estimate, including sampling error, coverage error, error associated with nonresponse, error associated with question wording and response options, and post-survey weighting and adjustments. Therefore, Harris Interactive avoids the words "margin of error" as they are misleading. All that can be calculated are different possible sampling errors with different probabilities for pure, unweighted, random samples with 100% response rates. These are only theoretical because no published polls come close to this ideal.

These statements conform to Verb 1. conform to - satisfy a condition or restriction; "Does this paper meet the requirements for the degree?"
fit, meet

coordinate - be co-ordinated; "These activities coordinate well"
 the principles of disclosure of the National Council on Public Polls.

About Harris Interactive

Harris Interactive is one of the largest and fastest-growing market research firms in the world. The company provides innovative research, insights and strategic advice to help its clients make more confident decisions which lead to measurable and enduring improvements enduring improvement (in·durˑ·ing im·prōōv·m  in performance. Harris Interactive is widely known for The Harris Poll, one of the longest running, independent opinion polls and for pioneering online market research methods. The company has built what it believes to be the world's largest panel of survey respondents In the context of marketing research, a representative sample drawn from a larger population of people from whom information is collected and used to develop or confirm marketing strategy. , the Harris Poll Online. Harris Interactive serves clients worldwide through its North American North American

named after North America.


North American blastomycosis
see North American blastomycosis.

North American cattle tick
see boophilusannulatus.
, European European

emanating from or pertaining to Europe.


European bat lyssavirus
see lyssavirus.

European beech tree
fagussylvaticus.

European blastomycosis
see cryptococcosis.
 and Asian offices, and through a global network of independent market research firms. More information about Harris Interactive may be obtained at www.harrisinteractive.com.

To become a member of the Harris Poll Online and be invited to participate in online surveys, register at www.harrispollonline.com.

Harris Interactive Inc. 01/08
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Publication:Business Wire
Date:Jan 17, 2008
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