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1Q08 Mobile Forecast Colombia 2007-2010 is Now Available.


DUBLIN Dublin, city, Republic of Ireland
Dublin, Irish Baile Átha Cliath, county borough (1991 pop. 915,516), Leinster, capital of the Republic of Ireland, on Dublin Bay at the mouth of the Liffey River.
, Ireland Ireland, Irish Eire (âr`ə) [to it are related the poetic Erin and perhaps the Latin Hibernia], island, 32,598 sq mi (84,429 sq km), second largest of the British Isles.  -- Research and Markets (http://www.researchandmarkets.com/reports/c83967) announces the addition of new IE Market Research report "1Q08 Mobile Forecast: Colombia Colombia (kəlŭm`bēə, Span. kōlōm`byä), officially Republic of Colombia, republic (2005 est. pop. 42,954,000), 439,735 sq mi (1,138,914 sq km), NW South America. Bogotá is the capital and largest city. , 2007-2010" to their offering.

IEMR's Mobile Forecast on Colombia provides over 65 operational and financial metrics metrics Managed care A popular term for standards by which the quality of a product, service, or outcome of a particular form of Pt management is evaluated. See TQM.  for the Colombia wireless market. We cover quarterly historical data starting in 3Q2003 and ending in 3Q2007. We also provide four-year forecasts at the operator level going out to 2010. Operators covered for Colombia include: Comcel (AMX AMX American Motors Experimental
AMX Aeromexico Aerovias de Mexico (ICAO code)
AMX Air Mobility Express
AMX Amberjacks (FAO fish species code)
AMX Alabama Motor eXpress
), Movistar movistar is a major mobile phone operator owned by Telefónica Móviles. It operates in Spain and in many Latin American countries. Many movistar networks were acquired from BellSouth.

The movistar name has been in use in Spain since the launch of GSM services in 1995.
 Colombia (TEF TEF Tracheoesophageal fistula, see there ), and Tigo For the board game, see .
TIGO is a mobile phone network provider in America, Africa and Asia. Based in Luxembourg, the company provides mobile services in 16 countries.
 Colombia (MICC MICC Malaysia International Conference on Communications
MICC Maltese Italian Chamber of Commerce
MICC Main Instrumentation and Controls Contractor
MICC Major Incident Control Centre (UK)
MICC Mineral Insulated Copper Covered
). Our Mobile Forecasts are updated quarterly and are available for one-time delivery or through regular updates.

Notable highlights of the 1Q08 Colombia Mobile Forecast include:

The wireless penetration level in Colombia will continue increasing and it will reach 89.0% in 2010. The number of total subscribers in the country will increase from our projected 32.5 million in 2007 to 40.4 million in 2010.

We are now forecasting a scenario in which the largest operator, Comcel, will see a stabilization Stabilization

The action undertakes a country when it buys and sells its own currency to protect its exchange value.
Actions registered competitive traders undertake by on the NYSE to meet the exchange requirement that 75% of their traded be stabilizing, meaning that sell orders
 of its market share over the forecast period. We are now predicting that Comcel's market share by subscribers will be 65.7% in 2010 (compared to our previous forecast of 59.6% and current 2007 projected levels of 67.5%). We are also predicting that Tigo Columbia (the 3rd largest operator) will see a major increase in its market share at the expense of Movistar Colombia (the 2nd largest operator). We are now forecasting that Tigo Colombia will see its market share increase from our projected 8.4% in 2007 to 12.9% in 2010 (compared to our previous forecasted market share of 6.5% in 2010 for Tigo Colombia).

We are revising our ARPU (Average Revenue Per User) A calculation often used to determine the overall value of an application. It is also used to rate particular customers, especially in the wireless space, by comparing someone's account to the overall average.  forecasts across the board for operators. Back in 4Q06, Tigo Colombia replaced Movistar as the operator with the highest ARPU in Colombia. We are predicting that this trend will continue during the forecast period, with Tigo Colombia registering the highest ARPU of US$ 14.18 per month (compared to our previous forecast of US$10.79 per month). Our forecast model also shows that Comcel will continue to receive the lowest ARPU among operators in Colombia at US$ 10.34 per month. Overall, Colombia will be the market where consumers pay the lowest ARPU in Latin America Latin America, the Spanish-speaking, Portuguese-speaking, and French-speaking countries (except Canada) of North America, South America, Central America, and the West Indies.  with average ARPUs of US$ 11.22 per month forecasted in 2010.

Our model is now predicting relative stability in EBITDA (Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation and Amortization) A metric used to show a company's profitability, but not its cash flow. EBITDA became popular in the 1980s to show the potential profitability of leveraged buyouts, but has become  margins across the operator space with Comcel having the highest EBITDA margins at 53.0% in 2010.
Contents:

Companies Covered in this Country Mobile Forecast
Comcel (AMX)
Movistar Colombia (TEF)
Tigo Colombia (MICC)

Charts 1-68 Results & Forecasts for: CY04-CY10
Chart 1: PREPAID AND POSTPAID SUBSCRIBERS
Chart 2: SUBSCRIBER GROWTH (YoY)
Chart 3: SUBSCRIBERS BY OPERATOR
Chart 4: SUBSCRIBER GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY)
Chart 5: NET SUBSCRIBER ADDS BY OPERATOR
Chart 6: NET SUBSCRIBER ADDS GROWTH BY OPERATOR
Chart 7: MONTHLY CHURN BY OPERATOR
Chart 8: POST-PAID SUBSCRIBERS BY OPERATOR
Chart 9: POST-PAID SUBSCRIBER GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY)
Chart 10: PREPAID/WHOLESALE SUBSCRIBERS BY OPERATOR
Chart 11: PREPAID/WHOLESALE SUBSCRIBER GROWTH BY OPERATOR
Chart 12: POST-PAID % OF TOTAL SUBSCRIBERS BY OPERATOR
Chart 13: PREPAID/WHOLESALE % OF TOTAL SUBSCRIBERS BY OPERATOR
Chart 14: POST-PAID NET ADDS BY OPERATOR
Chart 15: POST-PAID ADDS GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY)
Chart 16: PREPAID/WHOLESALE NET ADDS BY OPERATOR
Chart 17: PREPAID/WHOLESALE ADDS GROWTH BY OPERATOR
Chart 18: GROSS ADDITIONS BY OPERATOR
Chart 19: GROSS ADDITIONS GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY)
Chart 20: MONTHLY ARPU BY OPERATOR
Chart 21: MONTHLY ARPU GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY %)
Chart 22: DATA % OF SERVICE REVENUES BY OPERATOR
Chart 23: MONTHLY DATA ARPU BY OPERATOR
Chart 24: DATA ARPU GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY)
Chart 25: MONTHLY VOICE ARPU BY OPERATOR
Chart 26: VOICE ARPU GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY)
Chart 27: VOICE REVENUE PER MINUTE BY OPERATOR
Chart 28: VOICE REVENUE PER MINUTE GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY)
Chart 29: MOU PER SUBSCRIBER BY OPERATOR (MINUTES/MONTH)
Chart 30: MOU/SUBSCRIBER GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY %)
Chart 31: AGGREGATE MOU BY OPERATOR
Chart 32: AGGREGATE MOU GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY %)
Chart 33: SHARE OF TOTAL SUBSCRIBERS BY OPERATOR
Chart 34: HHI INDEX BY SUBSCRIBER SHARE
Chart 35: SHARE OF NET ADDS BY OPERATOR
Chart 36: SHARE OF POST-PAID NET ADDS BY OPERATOR
Chart 37: SHARE OF PREPAID/WHOLESALE NET ADDS BY OPERATOR
Chart 38: SHARE OF GROSS ADDS BY OPERATOR
Chart 39: SHARE OF SERVICE REVENUE BY OPERATOR
Chart 40: HHI INDEX BY SERVICE REVENUE SHARE
Chart 41: YoY CHANGE IN REVENUE SHARE BY OPERATOR
Chart 42: REPORTED REVENUE BY OPERATOR (REPORTING CURRENCY)
Chart 43: SERVICE REVENUE BY OPERATOR (REPORTING CURRENCY)
Chart 44: EBITDA BY OPERATOR (REPORTING CURRENCY)
Chart 45: CAPEX BY OPERATOR (REPORTING CURRENCY)
Chart 46: SERVICE REVENUE GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY)
Chart 47: EBITDA GROWTH BY OPERATOR (YoY)
Chart 48: EBITDA/REPORTED REVENUE BY OPERATOR
Chart 49: EBITDA/SERVICE REVENUE BY OPERATOR

And more...


For more information visit http://www.researchandmarkets.com/reports/c83967
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Publication:Business Wire
Date:Feb 26, 2008
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