1998 Bodes Well for Growth Stocks; 500 Companies in NationsBanc Montgomery Securities Growth Index Priced Attractively.SAN FRANCISCO--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Jan. 7, 1998--NationsBanc Montgomery Securities today unveiled its re-balanced growth stock index -- the NationsBanc Montgomery Securities Growth Index (NMSGI(SM)) and expressed optimism about growth stock performance in 1998. The index, launched last year, measures the performance of the 500 fastest growing U.S. companies with market capitalizations of greater than $200 million. The index tracks the market capitalization appreciation of these stocks which were selected on mean 3-5 year EPS (Encapsulated PostScript) A PostScript file format used to transfer a graphic image between applications and platforms. EPS files contain PostScript code as well as an optional preview image in TIFF, WMF, PICT or EPSI, the latter being an ASCII-only format. growth rates Growth Rates The compounded annualized rate of growth of a company's revenues, earnings, dividends, or other figures. Notes: Remember, historically high growth rates don't always mean a high rate of growth looking into the future. using I/B/E/S estimates (Institutional Brokers Estimate System). The 500 companies fall within six segments of the economy: Media & Communications, Consumer/Business Services, Financial Services, Health Care, Technology and "Other." "When we unveiled this index last year, we broke new ground in tracking growth companies," said Thomas W. Weisel, Chairman of NationsBanc Montgomery Securities. "By monitoring the various characteristics of the index, growth investors now have points of comparison they've never had before to measure performance. For the first time, investors have a benchmark from which to judge their investment performance." Several structural aspects of the NMSGI(SM) make it different from existing indices. It is the only index to be based on expected growth rates and unlike other indices it is not influenced by where the component stocks are traded or their respective industries. No one company represents more than 1.5 percent of the total portfolio market capitalization. In re-balancing the index, Michael Moe, growth strategist for NationsBanc Montgomery noted that 1997 was really a year of "Three Seasons" for growth investors. Season One was marked by horrible performance for growth stocks. Growth stocks measured by the NMSGI(SM) were off -21.8 percent from January 1st to April 25th. Investor sentiment reached a negative extreme during a six-week period in March and April where not one IPO (Initial Public Offering) The first time a company offers shares of stock to the public. While not a computer term per se, many founders, employees and insiders of computer companies have found this acronym more exciting than any tech term they ever heard. priced above the filing range. The catalyst for Season Two was a "surprise" budget agreement with provisions for a capital gains tax cut. This, coupled with a preponderance of evidence A standard of proof that must be met by a plaintiff if he or she is to win a civil action. In a civil case, the plaintiff has the burden of proving the facts and claims asserted in the complaint. that inflation would continue to be modest, provided stocks the excuse they needed to go up after being extremely oversold Oversold In technical analysis, it is a market in which the volume of selling that has occurred is greater than the fundamentals justify. Notes: It is the opposite of overbought. . Growth stocks measured by the NMSGI(SM) went up 55 percent from April 25th to October 9th. Season Three coincided with the Asian crisis with growth stocks especially technology stocks -- hard hit. Investment sentiment turned very bearish and during the month of December not one IPO priced above the filing range. "In a year that saw the S&P 500 up 31 percent, growth investors in general had remarkably little to cheer about," noted Moe in releasing the re-balanced index. "Sure, the NASDAQ NASDAQ in full National Association of Securities Dealers Automated Quotations U.S. market for over-the-counter securities. Established in 1971 by the National Association of Securities Dealers (NASD), NASDAQ is an automated quotation system that reports on was up 21.6 percent and the Russell 2000 advanced 20.5 percent, but the performance wasn't due to growth stocks. The NationsBanc Montgomery Securities Growth Index was up only 7.3 percent for the year." However, Moe noted that the NMSGISM had more companies that met or beat estimates (75 percent) than the S&P (71 percent) and earnings growth year-over-year was up 58 percent for the NMSGISM versus 10 percent for the S&P. Looking ahead to 1998, Moe expressed optimism about the outlook for growth companies -- and specifically small-cap growth stocks. He cites several reasons for this optimism, including: a slowdown in S&P 500 earnings growth; compelling valuations (the NMSGI(SM) is currently selling at 24.8x '98 estimates, 84 percent of its growth rate and at a 27 percent premium to the S&P); interest rates which are at 20-year lows; bullish investor sentiment; and persistent demand imbalance for equities. -0- Following are the characteristics of the 1998 index, as of December 1997: Growth Rates -- Mean 3-5 year projected EPS growth rate: 32.0% -- Minimum 3-5 year projected EPS growth rate: 25.0% -- Mean adjusted P/E P/E See: Price/earnings ratio multiple: 28.7x -- Adjusted P/E to growth rate: 89.7% Market Cap -- Total market cap: $728 billion -- Adjusted market cap: $614 billion -- Average adjusted market cap: $1,228 million -- Median market cap Median market cap The midpoint of market capitalization (market price multiplied by the number of shares outstanding) of the stocks in a portfolio. Half the stocks in the portfolio will have higher market capitalizations; half will have lower. : $571 million -- 28% of the index is small cap -- 39% of the index is mid-cap -- 33% of the index is large cap Industry Composition by Adjusted Market Cap -- 42% in the technology sector / 194 companies -- 21% in the consumer/business services sector / 141 companies -- 12% in the health care sector / 80 companies -- 16% in the communications sector / 45 companies -- 7% in the "other sector," / 29 companies -- 1% in the finance sector / 11 companies -- 500 companies: 394 on NASDAQ , 89 on NYSE NYSE See: New York Stock Exchange and 16 on AMEX AMEX See: American Stock Exchange -- 78.8% of the index traded on NASDAQ -- 17.8% of the index listed on NYSE -- 3.2% of the index listed on AMEX -0- The index is not publicly traded, but is recalculated on a daily basis and made available under the stock ticker Stock ticker A letter designation assigned to securities and mutual funds that trade on US financial exchanges. symbol NMSGISM on Bridge and under NMSG NMSG NATO Modelling and Simulation Group NMSG Nordic Myeloma Study Group NMSG Network Management Subgroup NMSG Network Management Support Group (MCI) (index) (go) on Bloomberg terminals. The index is re-balanced annually to determine the correct mix of companies that meet the criterion for inclusion or exclusion from the index. Sub-indices based on the industry sectors and large, small and mid-cap companies represented have also been created. NationsBanc Montgomery Securities LLC (Logical Link Control) See "LANs" under data link protocol. LLC - Logical Link Control (NMS See NetWare Management System. ), a subsidiary of NationsBank Corporation, is a full-service investment bank and brokerage firm with approximately $800 million of regulatory capital. The company provides research, trading and issuance in the equity and fixed-income (high yield, emerging markets, high grade and mortgage-backed markets). Other services include M&A advisory, financial buyer coverage, loan syndications, global investment banking, real estate finance, mortgage finance, money markets and the primary dealer. Through NationsBank, NMS clients can also access products and services that include senior bank debt, bridge financing, real estate banking, treasury management, trade finance and risk management (derivatives products and foreign exchange). NMS is a registered broker-dealer with the Securities and Exchange Commission and is a member of the National Association of Securities Dealers National Association of Securities Dealers (NASD) Nonprofit organization formed under the joint sponsorship of the investment bankers' conference and the SEC to comply with the Maloney Act, which provides for the regulation of the OTC market. and the New York Stock Exchange New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) World's largest marketplace for securities. The exchange began as an informal meeting of 24 men in 1792 on what is now Wall Street in New York City. . NMS employs more than 2,200 investment professionals. CONTACT: NationsBanc Montgomery Securities Jennifer Smith, 415/913-5968 jasmith@montgomery.com |
|
||||||||||||||

Printer friendly
Cite/link
Email
Feedback
Reader Opinion