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A WORLD OF RISK--AND OPPORTUNITY


A WORLD OF RISK--AND OPPORTUNITY



Many investment pros argue that stocks in developing countries have been unfairly punished. While venturing into emerging markets means taking on more risk, the long-term payoffs could be outsized out·size  
n.
1. An unusual size, especially a very large size.

2. A garment of unusual size.

adj. also out·sized
Unusually large, weighty, or extensive.

Adj. 1.
. Buying into mutual funds that specialize in these markets is the easiest way to invest in the sector.



EASTERN EUROPE

The Czech Republic and Turkey offer bargains and the potential for a quick recovery once the global economy gets back on its feet. Battered Russian stocks will likely rebound on demand for commodities from fast-growing China and India.

Strategies: Agne Zitkute of Pictet Asset Management calls this a "once-in-a-decade buying opportunity." She's bullish on Turkey, which boasts a young population and loads of pent-up demand. That should benefit companies such as discount retailer BIM BIM Building Information Modeling
BIM Building Information Model
BIM Bord Iascaigh Mhara (Irish Sea Fisheries Board)
BIM Brussels Instituut voor Milieubeheer (Belgium)
BIM Bharathidasan Institute of Management
. Bargains abound in Russia, too, where stocks are trading at just two to three times next year's earnings, says Michael Hartnett, emerging-market strategist at Merrill Lynch.



LATIN AMERICA

The region has been buffeted by the collapse in commodity prices, and its currencies have tanked. But Brazil and Mexico both have hefty domestic markets that could bounce back quickly. Argentina and Venezuela, by contrast, still look like trouble.

Strategies: Devan Kaloo of Aberdeen Asset Management Aberdeen Asset Management plc is an international investment management group, managing assets for both institutions and private individuals from offices around the world. It is based in Aberdeen, Scotland and listed on the London Stock Exchange (LSE: ADN).  likes retailer Lojas Renner and top bank Banco Bradesco, which has a management team that has weathered previous crises. Josephine Jimenez of the Victoria 1522 Fund recommends Colombian gold producer Mineros and Mexican silver miner Penoles as a hedge against inflation.



MIDDLE EAST AND AFRICA Africa (ăf`rĭkə), second largest continent (1997 est. pop. 743,000,000), c.11,677,240 sq mi (30,244,050 sq km) including adjacent islands. Broad to the north (c.4,600 mi/7,400 km wide), Africa straddles the equator and stretches c.  

The Gulf looks iffy if·fy  
adj. if·fi·er, if·fi·est Informal
Doubtful; uncertain: an iffy proposition.



[From if.  as plunging oil prices hit property values in Dubai and Abu Dhabi. In Africa, turmoil in the Democratic Republic of Congo, Zimbabwe, and elsewhere is a worry. Still, Egypt's 90 million consumers make it a decent bet, and with growth likely to top 8%, Angola and Nigeria look promising.

Strategies: South Africans are using their expertise at home to move into sub-Saharan countries, says Mark Mobius of Templeton Emerging Markets Funds. He's holding South African cellular carrier MTN MTN

A short-form for Medium Term Note.


MTN

Medium term notes issued by corporations, much like shorter-term commercial paper.


MTN

See medium-term note (MTN).
, which has expanded across the region, and fashion retailer Foschini, which he says has strong cash flow.



INDIA

India is unlikely to see the 8%-plus growth of recent years, and stocks, down 54% in 2008, may not recover until foreign interest picks up. But India is less dependent on global trade than other Asian countries, so companies that serve its domestic market should see steady demand.

Strategies: Guy Strapp of Prudential Asset Management believes in focusing on companies that will benefit from "digging, building, and designing." He recommends Larsen & Toubro, India's largest engineering company, and GMR (Giant Magnetoresistance) See magnetoresistance.  Infrastructure, which is building three airports and 11 power plants.



CHINA

Look for a recovery in the second half of 2009 once a $582 billion stimulus package kicks in. The Shanghai bourse tanked before the rest of the world--dropping 60% this year--so it could recover before other markets.

Strategies: Jing Ulrich of JPMorgan says that with 45% of China's stimulus package aimed at building airports, high-speed rail lines, and power plants, cement maker Anhui Conch conch (kŏngk, kŏnch, kôngk), common name for certain marine gastropod mollusks having a heavy, spiral shell, the whorls of which overlap each other.  and power generator China Shenhua look inexpensive. Paul Pong (games) Pong - A computer game invented in 1972 by Atari's Nolan Bushnell. The game is a minimalist rendering of table tennis. Each of the two players are represented as a white slab, controllable by a knob, which deflects a bouncing ball.  of Pegasus Fund Managers says sportswear maker Li Ning will benefit from the afterglow afterglow

small amounts of light emitted by a phosphor after the stimulating radiation has ceased. Seen in x-ray intensifying screens and fluoroscopic screens.
 of the Beijing Olympics.



NOTE: Countries highlighted are mentioned in the text.

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Author:Frederik Balfour
Publication:BusinessWeek
Date:Dec 24, 2008
Words:536
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